TSE:TD

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO)

171.48
+1.11 (0.65%)
as of Sep 18, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
2220 watching
0
TOP PICK

It makes an ROE on Canadian retail of over 40%. They are now a Top Ten US bank. He targets $95 or more for the stock. (Analysts’ target: $83.57).

STRONG BUY

Excellent. Buy it on a pullback whether as a first position or adding to your shares. August tends to get sloppy in the markets. TD's U.S. presence is important. In fact, they're probably bigger in the States than here. There's lots of room to expand down there. He hasn't sold his shares at all. 3.5% dividend.

COMMENT

They've had a successful expansion in the U.S. which should continue to do well, but it's cost a lot of money to launch down there. TD stands in the upper-end of its valuation. He owns three other Canadian banks instead and is content with them.

HOLD

It may be the best Canadian performing bank in 2018. It's near its all-time high, due to its large U.S. operations. (He works at another Canadian bank.) He sees a 2.5% lift-off with every interest rate move. TD is a great name. Hold what you have.

BUY

She owns Canadian banks, including TD. She likes TD because of its US exposure. In general, the Canadian banks have not done well this year, partially because of trade uncertainty and uncertainty about the housing market. TD has traded flat for the year. She thinks the Canadian economy will slowly improve. The market seems to be optimistic about the possible resolution of Canadian-US trade relations and is not punishing the banks.

BUY

This is not a great short-term trade. Other sectors, like energy, might have more room to run over the short term. This is less cyclical and more steady. He likes its valuation at this price. This stock has held up better than some of the other banks.

HOLD

He has been underweight Canadian banks in favour of the US counterparts. TD has many assets in the US, but he has not been convinced this is the best way to access the US marketplace. If you want to own a Canadian company dealing in the US, this is a good bet.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 27/17 Up 20%). Last summer the Home Capital fears made this a great buy. Earnings remain strong and the fundamentals are supportive. This is a great hold until the next recession hits. He would continue buying here.

COMMENT

Should an investor reduce a large concentrated holding of bank stocks? This is a great business, but thinks it could go down to historical P/E multiples when markets turn lower. He would favor reducing a large exposure in the sector. You could get a similar yield from REITs and utilities.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick, July 4, 2017, Up 21%) It's his largest bank holding. It's 50% U.S. retail, so it is exposed to the U.S. economy. The market is worried about the debt of Canadian consumers, so TD's U.S. exposure has made it the darling of Canadian investors.

BUY

He would buy it at these levels. Q2 earnings were up 21%. Expenses unchanged for the last two quarters. 17.6% ROE. Strong capital position. Not a bad growth rate.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick September 21 / 2017, Up 13%) Now own BMO instead. TD has gone nowhere for a while. Breakouts don’t always come through as you expect. Has really lightened up on the banks. If market thinks rates going marching up, but banks have stalled, does the market think the economy’s not going be able to handle higher rates for longer? On technicals first, and then fundamental drivers, and also valuation, BMO seemed bit better risk profile. Banks won’t do better until the fall.

BUY

Solid stock for grandkids aged 7 and 2. Bell or a Canadian bank or a Power Financial bond? They just bought TD Bank for a client in a similar situation. For a time horizon of 10-12 years. Canadian banks are relatively stable oligopolies. Dividend yield of 3.5% Buy this instead of a bond, because you can lose money in a rising interest rate environment.

BUY

He's long owned this. It's a good company and well-run. Has one of the best retail franchises in Canada while in American they continue to grow. Good dividend yield. Great earnings this quarter and likely this year. Expect better earnings from their U.S. operations. Looking ahead for 5-10 years, technology will drive down costs for them and will at some point reduce the number of branches.

HOLD

He thinks the financial sector may again strengthen around October seasonally. The chart is likely to move sideways through the summer. He would view it as neutral – likely put his capital into something more exciting.

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