
TSE:RY
This summary was created by AI, based on 56 opinions in the last 12 months.
Royal Bank of Canada (RY) is viewed as a solid investment, characterized by its strong market position as the largest and top-performing bank in Canada. Analysts praise its balanced approach to growth and income, particularly highlighting the accelerated growth in capital markets and wealth management sectors. While many experts agree on its premium valuation relative to historical averages, they continue to express confidence in the bank's long-term prospects, backed by solid earnings and a consistent dividend record. Some experts have suggested a cautious approach, recommending trimming positions or taking profits due to high valuations, yet many maintain it as a core holding in their portfolios. The overall funding environment and regulatory moves are seen as conducive to future growth, despite the potential macroeconomic challenges ahead.
There is nothing special about this bank. It’s the biggest in Canada, but if you look at Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T) you can point to international exposure. National Bank (NA-T) has Québec locked up. Toronto Dominion (TD-T) has a bank on every corner in New York City. Bank of Montréal (BMO-T) made a big acquisition in Chicago. There is really nothing to distinguish this one from the crowd. It steady, it’s solid and it’s boring. It’s going to pay its dividend and its going to raise its dividend. Don’t expect the stock price to take off though.
This doesn’t have the highest growth rate, but has a pretty good one. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T) has the highest at around 8% over the next couple of years. He is modelling 6% for this. Very high capital ratio. One of the catalysts that Royal has is that it has not had restructuring plans like the others, but if they do that, the market will be rewarding it.
Canadian banks have shown their resiliency and good risk management in this energy downturn, and have come out of much better than what people expected. Most of the banks have been taking big restructuring charges lately, consisting mostly of severances that they have been paying. This bank has not done that. They have been taking small charges every quarter, but they left that in their adjusted earnings, which means their earnings quality was quite good. Have reduced their Canadian tellers from 11,000 to 6000. They are the most efficient bank in digitalization, so they have the lowest cost of production. Also, their provisions for energy loans were much higher than what they needed to take, and those provisions could come back into earnings in the next few years.
As a group, banks are cheap relative to the TSX. We have likely seen the highest water mark in terms of energy fears. This had solid performance in Canadian banking and wealth, and have the best earnings power. They are not going to grow much this year, but over the next couple of years he predicts some pretty good growth. Dividend yield of 4.06%.
Royal Bank (RY-T) or National Bank (NA-T)? This took quite a hit recently because of their acquisition. Not his favourite bank, but it is certainly in a zone that you could comfortably Buy in. He would buy both giving diversification of having a big bank with good dividends, and one that has better growth prospects.
This only has about a 5% exposure to the UK and Europe, which is manageable. They recently took over City National of California, which had a fantastic wealth management business in California and New York State. It is their intention to increase this business as much is possible, and at the same time cross-sell products and services. Dividend yield of 4.31%. (On his 3 top picks, he would not necessarily Buy now, but watch the markets for your entry point.)