
TSE:RY
This summary was created by AI, based on 55 opinions in the last 12 months.
Royal Bank (RY-T) has garnered a strong reputation among experts, with many emphasizing its leading position in the Canadian banking sector. Analysts have highlighted solid earnings growth, improved capital reserves, and strategic moves such as the acquisition of HSBC Canada that bolster its international presence. Despite the stock trading at a premium valuation, which some view as excessive, many experts consider it a dependable long-term investment, citing its consistent dividend increases and robust fundamentals. However, caution is advised due to high current valuations and concerns over a potential downturn in the broader banking sector. The consensus reflects a belief in the bank's resilience, although calls for profit-taking and a waiting strategy for better entry points have emerged as common themes.
There is nothing special about this bank. It’s the biggest in Canada, but if you look at Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T) you can point to international exposure. National Bank (NA-T) has Québec locked up. Toronto Dominion (TD-T) has a bank on every corner in New York City. Bank of Montréal (BMO-T) made a big acquisition in Chicago. There is really nothing to distinguish this one from the crowd. It steady, it’s solid and it’s boring. It’s going to pay its dividend and its going to raise its dividend. Don’t expect the stock price to take off though.
This doesn’t have the highest growth rate, but has a pretty good one. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-T) has the highest at around 8% over the next couple of years. He is modelling 6% for this. Very high capital ratio. One of the catalysts that Royal has is that it has not had restructuring plans like the others, but if they do that, the market will be rewarding it.
Canadian banks have shown their resiliency and good risk management in this energy downturn, and have come out of much better than what people expected. Most of the banks have been taking big restructuring charges lately, consisting mostly of severances that they have been paying. This bank has not done that. They have been taking small charges every quarter, but they left that in their adjusted earnings, which means their earnings quality was quite good. Have reduced their Canadian tellers from 11,000 to 6000. They are the most efficient bank in digitalization, so they have the lowest cost of production. Also, their provisions for energy loans were much higher than what they needed to take, and those provisions could come back into earnings in the next few years.
As a group, banks are cheap relative to the TSX. We have likely seen the highest water mark in terms of energy fears. This had solid performance in Canadian banking and wealth, and have the best earnings power. They are not going to grow much this year, but over the next couple of years he predicts some pretty good growth. Dividend yield of 4.06%.
Royal Bank (RY-T) or National Bank (NA-T)? This took quite a hit recently because of their acquisition. Not his favourite bank, but it is certainly in a zone that you could comfortably Buy in. He would buy both giving diversification of having a big bank with good dividends, and one that has better growth prospects.
This only has about a 5% exposure to the UK and Europe, which is manageable. They recently took over City National of California, which had a fantastic wealth management business in California and New York State. It is their intention to increase this business as much is possible, and at the same time cross-sell products and services. Dividend yield of 4.31%. (On his 3 top picks, he would not necessarily Buy now, but watch the markets for your entry point.)
Buy Long Term Call on Royal Bank. He likes the Canadian banks and thinks there is quite a bit of runway ahead of them. This gives you a great dividend. This comes back to the low interest rate environment. Call options get lowered in price, because interest rates are low relative to the dividend that the Bank is paying. He would Buy out to January 2018.