PotashCorp (POT.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

PotashCorp (POT.TO)

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COMMENT

An exceptional uptrend. Usually the issue is whether you are a short or long-term investor. For short-term, and you have a narrow window with prices being more sensitive, you might want to wait until it comes back to the trend line. For long-term investors were indicators are good, you probably can't go to wrong. The MACD looks like it is trying to register a signal, but hasn't quite completely crossed it.

COMMENT

Has had a spectacular run. His Fair Market Value is $128 as he measures it and this amount is also a major technical peak, which would be very difficult to get through at 8X Book. Very profitable company and fast Balance Sheet growth. Expensive.

BUY

Had a very good run, but would still buy it. Agriculture is a space you should focus on. The leader in this group globally. Very good growth profile. Under owned globally.

BUY

Anyone associated with agricultural products, with the price of grain going through the roof, continues to be very strong. Looks like it is going to continue to do well.

COMMENT

Growth of wealth in the Far East and other emerging nations has caused a change in dietary habits. Fertilizer companies will be very much in the fore going forward. This one is very much more expensive than Agrium (AGU-T).

BUY

Expects it will stay strong. The grain cycle is still in, but watch it carefully. The ethanol industry is helping us here.

BUY

One of the core leadership spaces in the market. Pricing power/ rising demand. Global demand. Like stock/space. Been a steady performer. You’d do well to have space in agriculture.

SELL

Good long-term story with the increased use of potash for fertilizers. There is an increased growth story on agriculture in developing countries. They are more expensive than they have been in the past and there could be a pullback. Would take some money

HOLD

Has a multiple of 25 plus, which is lower than some others in the agricultural area.

DON'T BUY

More expensive than Agrium (AGU-T) on a price to earnings basis. Would probably prefer Agrium but feel that both are too expensive right now.

BUY

This stock never seriously broke down. Right now it is at its support level. The MACD shows a bit of divergence, which he would call a positive one.

BUY

This is a play on the ethanol boom. It will make you loads of money.

BUY

A 3 to 5 year cycle story. Related to increased demand for food from emerging markets. All fertilizer stocks in general are attractive.

SELL

Cyclical and trading at 30 X earnings, which is way too high at this stage of the cycle. Likes the agricultural cycle. Would take profits here.

DON'T BUY

If you put a momentum indicator on the chart, you would see a lower high. It's near its old high, but some of the indicators are rolling over. This is a negative diversion and he would be very careful of it. If you own, don't let it violate the trend line.

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