PotashCorp (POT.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

PotashCorp (POT.TO)

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PARTIAL SELL

If you own, now would be a good time to start taking some profits. They earned around $3.50 last year and the projections for the next year are up around the $6 level. Based on $185, that is a big multiple.

COMMENT

This is definitely a hot sector. This is a very long-term trend that is still in place. His concern is that the stock has gone up 3 times in the last year and if it sold off, he would have felt badly recommending it. It's a tough play as it could also double from here. If you buy, be ready to get out if it breaks down.

PARTIAL SELL

(Market Call Minute.) Has had a huge run and the outlook for the long-term looks good, but in the near term they have gone up too much and you might want to take some profits.

SELL

Trading at around 40X earnings, so he has to shy away from this. It's in a fantastic spot but when something trades at 40X, it is just not sustainable.

STRONG BUY

Really likes potash. Likes the story and fundamentals and the chart. Showing great earnings growth here. Constantly exceeding expectations.

HOLD

A wonderful company. The fair market value is miles above where the stock is trading right now. Lots of upside potential. It is trading 8 times book value, there is lots of down side risk.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Worried about stocks that move up so much. Wouldn’t be buying in at this point. Don’t buy unless you’re a momentum player. Wait for a sell off before you play it.

WEAK BUY

Target of $195+ in 3-6 months. Potential drop in commodity prices, they have become trading vehicles, they are financial players. Sold it last week. Would buy more pot ash at $130.

BUY

We are heading into a long-term food crisis. Secondly, there is maximization of fields that have already been planted. Also inventories of grains are at an all-time low level.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Thinks the agricultural play still continues. Had a pullback in January with the market and this could happen again. That would be the time to buy.

BUY

One of the core themes he is invested in is agriculture. There is very good visibility in earnings, nicely rising estimates and global demand. On the negative side, they have become more volatile recently.

BUY

Farmland planting is increasing but not very much so they have to get more yield per acre and demand for fertilizer nutrients increases. He has taken a package of 3 Agrium (AGU-T), Mosaic (MOS-N) and Potash (POT-T). Potash has the greatest potential for gain.

BUY

Likes this one very much. As a price momentum investor, this is probably the best momentum story that he has ever seen.

BUY

Likes companies that are trading within 10%/15% of their all-time highs. In a business where the fundamentals are improving or accelerating, very often they look expensive, but it is really that the earnings estimates coming from the analysts are too low. Use a trailing stop; ratchet it up behind as the share price goes up.

BUY

Trades around 19X earnings. It is the dominant player. Currently negotiating the prices with the Chinese. They have 75% of the excess capacity in the industry, worldwide. Solid company. Long life reserves.

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PotashCorp (POT.TO)