
TSE:PEY
Very high quality company and basically the low cost producer in Western Canada. There has been a little check back in the price of gas, which we don’t normally get. This is one you typically buy on pullbacks. Good dividend per share growth. All their lines are very concentrated and they own the infrastructure along with the land, so they have the ability to participate in the upside, but it takes longer for natural gas to work out. A low cost producer so can survive the downturns. Could see this at $45 with stronger gas prices in the winter.
(A Top Pick April 10/13. Up 31.42%.) They have “all in cash” costs of about $6.36 per barrel of oil or equivalent. Very efficient producer. Sees earnings growing at around 31% for the next couple of years. Market was worried about the adjusted payout ratio on their dividend and that has been trending down. Buy on weakness.
This is the preeminent gas company. They are at the right end of the cost curve. Their gas makes sense down to $2 per MCF. If you are cautious on gas, this is probably the place to be because these guys would be the last man standing. Balance sheet is about 2X debt to cash flow but, if gas prices fall, this obviously gets higher.
There are others with better production growth outlooks. Prefers TOU-T. The management at PEY-T are very well respected. Thinks people will move from this stock to another.