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He is a happy shareholder of this one. He bought it because it had lagged the whole software cycle in the beginning. They made an acquisition that caused the stock to tumble – they saw that as an opportunity at $40. He would not be adding to his position at this value, but expects future valuation appreciation.
This company has been competing well through good acquisitions and he thinks it is well managed. Due to a lack of consistency in earnings it tends to keep the valuation multiples pretty low. This last quarter was great and the forecast looks promising. He is watching this closely and thinks it is an acquisition target (but has thought so for 10 years).
It has a lovely balance sheet. The problem is with the earnings and the intrinsic value of the company. Forecasts since 2014 show a steady progression in earnings but just a modest progression. He has only seen an increase in fair market value of 9% since then. He would wait for a setback. Wait for it to pull back to $40.
They just announced a dispute with the IRS which affected the stock price today. He expects this to take years to resolve. Canadian software stocks have done very well over time. He would be a buyer on dips, and today’s news created a dip, so he would buy. The model price is $63, which gives a 26% upside from the current price. He would plan to hold this for longer than 5 years. 22. Amazon (AMZN-O)(Doesn’t Own)(Don’t Buy). If the S&P goes higher, certainly Amazon will go higher. It has positive equity, but it is too expensive for a value investor.
Tech sector down in the US from its June peak and that translate into some Canadian companies in the sector like this one. They are due for another acquisition in his opinion. They are taking a new approach now with the new CEO focusing on return on invested capital. Very good long-term capital allocator. (Analysts’ price target is $57.00)