
TSE:OTEX
This summary was created by AI, based on 21 opinions in the last 12 months.
OpenText (OTEX) has drawn mixed reviews from experts, reflecting a landscape of cautious optimism versus skepticism. While some analysts highlight the stock's potential value given its low PE ratio of 5.2x and a 4% dividend yield, others stress the challenges posed by changes in the AI landscape, which could disrupt traditional software pricing models. The stock is currently building a base around the $28-$35 range, with a significant breakout potential if it surpasses the $35 resistance. However, concerns about its lack of organic growth, management changes, and heavy reliance on acquisitions have cast doubts on its long-term viability. As a result, many suggest exploring better opportunities in the software sector while keeping an eye on OpenText’s movements, especially after earnings reports.
He is a happy shareholder of this one. He bought it because it had lagged the whole software cycle in the beginning. They made an acquisition that caused the stock to tumble – they saw that as an opportunity at $40. He would not be adding to his position at this value, but expects future valuation appreciation.
This company has been competing well through good acquisitions and he thinks it is well managed. Due to a lack of consistency in earnings it tends to keep the valuation multiples pretty low. This last quarter was great and the forecast looks promising. He is watching this closely and thinks it is an acquisition target (but has thought so for 10 years).
It has a lovely balance sheet. The problem is with the earnings and the intrinsic value of the company. Forecasts since 2014 show a steady progression in earnings but just a modest progression. He has only seen an increase in fair market value of 9% since then. He would wait for a setback. Wait for it to pull back to $40.
They just announced a dispute with the IRS which affected the stock price today. He expects this to take years to resolve. Canadian software stocks have done very well over time. He would be a buyer on dips, and today’s news created a dip, so he would buy. The model price is $63, which gives a 26% upside from the current price. He would plan to hold this for longer than 5 years. 22. Amazon (AMZN-O)(Doesn’t Own)(Don’t Buy). If the S&P goes higher, certainly Amazon will go higher. It has positive equity, but it is too expensive for a value investor.
He loves the software space. Once you hook a client to use your software, they never stop using it. This business generates a lot of cash. OTEX will generate $1 billion of operating cash flow in the next three years. They've done a great job growing EBITDA per share. OTEX is cheap consider 11x EBITDA vs. 17x among U.S. peers. Has had dividend growth for the past five years. (Analysts' price target: $55.07)
(A Top Pick September 27, 2017. Up 27%). This was out of favour when he bought it. It was down because it grows by acquisition. It bit off a couple of big acquisitions and the market was unsure how well it could manage them. As it turned out, they did well.