
TSE:NFI
Is this a hold over next year or two? Well positioned in the bus manufacturing industry, but their after market business has been a bit soft. Longer term, the sector will do well. Demand will be decent for the next year or so. Valuation is too high right now. Would take a look around $50. (Analysts’ price target is $67.)
Previous to this week was known as New Flyer. They missed on their last earnings. It is a well-run company with a good backlog of orders. From a seasonal perspective, however, manufacturing is not in a peak season right now, so he thinks there is now a chance of consolidation. He would become a buyer on a move back above the 2018 high.
He's owned this for a long, long time and it's one of his biggest holdings. Their after-parts business struggled last year, but they are making up for that now with that business growing again. They enjoy a record backlog now. Lots of cash. They think a few steps ahead and can expand into other areas of buses. Multiple is only 16x forward earnings. He'd even buy it here. This will be a $60 stock.
It's really well-positioned. Cities are in a period they have money as well as demand for cleaner buses. They were smart to build a plant in Minnesota which could ride the Buy America vibe now. North America is shifting to more mass
transits and cleaner buses.