
NASDAQ:INTC
In a tough spot. Very expensive to build large, advanced fabs. We're talking $5-10B a pop. Falling behind and attempting to leapfrog over the #1 competitor TSM. Not constructive on it. TSM's lead very hard to catch. Would be left surviving on government handouts.
Playing the nationalism card, but TSM is now building fabs in Arizona.
Great opportunity to pick up 4 pillars. MU on the manufacturing, TSM for the foundry, LRCX or KLAC or ASML as the equipment suppliers, NVDA is a gift down here as a designer. And (he can't believe he's going to say this) even INTC; come 2025, it will be competitive with NVDA.
He's recommended it a handful of times, and it's always blown up in his face. He owns it in a few separately managed accounts, and a couple of his analysts want him to put it in the fund. The chip coming out is going to be pretty competitive, even on price, with NVDA's.
You'll probably have to wait for Q4 of this year or Q1 of 2025, but it's a pretty good bet down here around $32. 12-month price target of $41, sweet. If everything can only come together on their new offering.
It's one of those stocks that, when you look at it on paper, it's a no-brainer. However, it all comes down to execution. Small position only.
Controversial among his research team, but he's not a fan. Eventually, it will take off. Highest-paid CEO in the semiconductor business, but the worst-performing stock. 12-month price target of $41.15. Plays directly in the sandbox of NVDA and AMD. Results missed, guided lower. Price action tells you not to own.
He sold it a few years ago, so he could get out of a capital-intensive business. He invests in capital-lite semis companies with high margins and stable profits. But a company investing a lot in capex within a cyclical industry is definitely exposed.