
TSE:IMO
A great, solid, well-run company, and you can tell that by the way it trades. Free cash flow profile looks healthy, which is good for the investor. Because it is such a good quality company with less beta than the rest of the group, in a rising price environment you are not going to get as much appreciation as you would in some others. This is a company you don’t want to own coming out of a recovery. Also. refining margins are coming down. Feels some of the best upside is going to be in the pure play rather than in an integrated story.
If you strictly want yield or safety on a Canadian energy, you are probably better off playing the parent Exxon (XOM-N) in the US. He would be more inclined to go to any of the producers that can grow their production a lot more effectively than this company can. This is more of a defensive holding when the sector rolls over.
Just reported and earnings were not that great. Not a real surprise as it is 83% in the oil area. Has been a very steady producer for years and years. The real problem coming out of their earnings was that people had thought it would do better downstream than what it did. He is basically standing back from the oil/gas sector. Doesn’t see us reaching some stability until maybe 2016.
(Top Pick June 27/14, Down 12.50%) It is an integrated oil and if oil prices are weak then one side would balance out the other within the business. He never expected oil to go down this much. This one has performed well relative to the oil sector. He is indifferent to the stock right now and issued a sell to the company last time he was on.
20 year hold? What has rallied has been the more speculative higher beta names. This is one of the most conservative integrated names. It has a heavy downstream piece, so it tends to do quite well. Doesn’t see tremendous strong growth, but it will plug along and do fine, and be a good steward of your cash. Dividend yield of 1.34%.