NYSE:IBM

IBM Common Stock (IBM)

223.65
+1.91 (0.86%)
as of Jul 31, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJul 31, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 26 opinions in the last 12 months.

IBM's recent performance has been mixed, highlighted by significant stock fluctuations and earnings surprises. While some analysts noted a severe drop in share price following earnings, with concerns about execution slips and high valuations, others pointed to the company's strengths, including its robust AI and quantum computing initiatives. The stock's current price levels seem volatile, with predictions of further declines unless stabilization occurs around key support levels. Despite the potential for growth driven by AI and software services, and recent strong earnings reports, there remain skeptics who believe IBM's valuation may be overstated given current market dynamics. Overall, the outlook varies widely among experts, reflecting both the challenges and opportunities the company faces in a competitive landscape.

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Consensus
Hold
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Valuation
Fair Value
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RISKY
In this year of great volatility in the tech space, he uses IBM more as a trading stock. Buy it at $130 and sell it at $170. He is looking at it again, but puzzling why it is down at the lower range again. They have a lot of hidden value in their patents that go into cognitive and AI deep learning, both of which will be in the auto autonomous growth space. (Analysts’ price target is $148.00)
WEAK BUY

He wouldn't buy IBM for the dividend. The valuation is good. The risk is Red Hat to move to cloud computing that hasn't paid off yet. It's at a 10 times multiple, so it is still pretty cheap. The balance sheet looks good. Current yield of 4.8% is safe.

DON'T BUY

IBM should be killing it now--huge--considering macro tech trends like machine-learning, but IBM doesn't, can't, make it happen. They were a hardware business then acquired software businesses which increased their profits. After that, they bought back shares, which is a good idea in general, but IBM should not have. Rather, they should have reinvested to innovate. He doesn't know if their Red Hat deal will work out.

TOP PICK

The most hated stock on the S&P. IBM is doing a lot of things right. It trades much lower vs. its peers, so it doesn't take a lot to get a 20-30% return out of it. The bar is set so low. The EPS is around 10-11x. They just closed on the Red Hat cloud deal. Revenue growth is 2-3% annual, but they are cutting out big-revenue, but low-margin contracts which should improve their bottom line. Red Hat's CEO could be the next IBM head, which is a plus. (Analysts’ price target is $154.76)

DON'T BUY
They are a single digit grower, with a well supported dividend. It is a hardware name. He likes the theme. He prefers IGB-N.
DON'T BUY

It's cheap now and making good cash flow. However, it isn't growing. It missed out of the cloud computing business. They paid a lot for Red Hat, and integrating that will be interesting and no guarantee it'll work. IBM is on probation for him. He'd rather buy MSFT or Google.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 23/18, Down 2%) A value tech stock. He sold this and bought Google, because it was growing faster. IBM has trouble growing; it's been stagnant.

HOLD

He bought it about two months ago around $140. The Red Hat acquisition created a buying opportunity he thought. The company is moving into the cloud space and IBM has strong footholds with the banks in the data space. When the banks move to the cloud, IBM will be the company they turn to. He is very comfortable with this being a solid hold.

WAIT
He wants to see how the balance sheets looks after the acquisition of Red Hat. He wants to wait to see how it unfolds in the September financials.
DON'T BUY
A tempting 4.7% dividend. It's also very cheap at 10x 2020 earnings. Their most recent quarter reflected solid global cloud services. Their Red Hat acqusition could drive IBM revenues. But he models only 3% EPS growth. Q1 revenue was lower than expected as was forward guidance. It's an okay name and okay dividend, but you're better off with higher tech names, even without dividends.
DON'T BUY
He'd stay away from hardware, though their chart is OK. Their chart is approaching resistance where previous shareholders will sell off as the share price recover ground. Due to Apple, computer hardware has really struggled. IBM has a buyback in place and pays 5% yield. They are doing the right things, but look elsewhere.
DON'T BUY
Unlike like the rest of the sector it has declining revenues. They spent too much o an acquisition. It has been a poor capital allocator. Needs to generate organic growth.
DON'T BUY
At its low? Terrible balance sheet. Grasping at straws, making an expensive acquisition because they're late to the party. Not at all interested. Buy Apple if you're looking for a beaten-up tech company.
COMMENT
IBM (IBM-N) vs Microsoft (MSFT-Q) No brainer for him he prefers Microsoft. Microsoft is up 30% YTD, they are doing a lot of things very well. He would buy half Microsoft and half Apple and would leave IBM out of this. Microsoft is not cheap, Apple is cheap, so at least you are getting some value incorporated into the investment.
COMMENT
Cheap at 9.6x earnings. Solid dividend. Red Hat deal was good for them. It's tempting to buy now, but...he needs to see more of a catalyst, other companies with better growth.
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