Honeywell InternationalHONHOLDOct 29, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 23, 2026. Market Open.
Great example of a company that looks awesome on paper, but execution has been difficult. Lots of moving parts. Leadership changes, sale of assets, aerospace spinoff. Solid profitability, high ROE of 32.5%. Leverage remains moderate to high, but liquidity ratios indicate it can manage.
You could buy some here, add ~$200, and the final piece ~$190.
His firm is positive on industrials and aerospace. Reorganization. Recently broke out of base it's held since September 2021; recently pulled back to test. Probably a good entry point.
Aerospace/industrials have been weaker recently. 46% of its business is from aerospace. Lot of value to be unlocked. Likes it for the next 18 months.
Decent value, trading ~26x forward PE with 22-23% expected earnings growth rate. Relative to other industrial names, stock's been somewhat flat over last 12 months. Price is above 200-day MA now, but it's really been up and down over last 6-8 months.
In the space, he prefers names with a bit more growth. Think of GEV, VRT, and CMI. Also see his Top Picks.
Infrastructure behind a lot of the real economy. Story right now is being driven by aerospace -- strong demand for air travel and ongoing maintenance. Spinoffs should make parent more focused and easier to value.
Not high growth, but a steady compounder. Value scores 9/10, fundamentals are 8/10. Room to run, good stock to hold.
GE provided the template to follow -- those spinoffs were very successful and drove a lot of shareholder value. The template's there, but execution matters. Defense and similar sectors have a lot of interest and spending right now. Good company, finally starting to reward shareholders. Good diversifier away from mega-caps.
Broke out of its bigger-term downtrend. Looks pretty positive here. The next short-term target (next couple of months) is going to be around the $240 level (a 10% upside from current levels).
Take a look at the 3-year chart. You can see the 2 peaks close to $240. If it can push above those, the next upside target is ~$260. Likes the setup, great entry point if an investor bought recently. Trend is upward, at least in the intermediate term.
It is a high quality diversified industrial conglomerate. Will spin out the aerospace division. Some of its businesses are short cycle and therefore more economically sensitive. The automation side looks interesting - wait for it to develop. The M&A strategy might be on hold. There is a stock split.
When Honeywell splits into three companies, owners of Honeywell Canadian Depositary Receipts (CDRs) traded on the TSX will not directly receive shares of the spun-off entities—instead, they will receive special cash distributions for each CDR held, reflecting the value of the spinoff securities, such as shares in the new Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. For example, as part of the 2025-2026 process, CDR holders will receive a cash amount approximately equivalent to the value of the distributed shares (such as one Solstice share for every four Honeywell shares) rather than being granted CDRs in the new entities themselves. Generally speaking, such moves are good for shareholders. The company is splitting to create value. That being said, many investors simply sell their news shares, causing some price pressure on the spin outs. In this case, considering current valuation, we would be OK buying, but we would not expect miracles here. Gains can take a while, and near year end some large investors may wait before accumulating positions in the the new entities.
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