
TSE:FRU
This summary was created by AI, based on 15 opinions in the last 12 months.
Freehold Royalties Ltd (FRU-T) has garnered mixed feedback from experts, primarily focusing on its sustainable dividend yield, currently around 7.2-8%. While some analysts see it as a solid hold for income-focused investors, others caution that the company operates in a cyclical market, suggesting that it may not be suitable as a long-term investment. There is acknowledgment of a favorable production trajectory, particularly in the U.S. and significant backing from major clients like XOM. However, concerns about future capital expenditure and the potential for dividends to be trimmed in down markets are prevalent. Despite fluctuations in commodity prices, many believe FRU can deliver stable returns given its royalty model, though not without risks.
Just starting to break support. When it's this early into a break (a few days or a week), you have to cut it some slack. Sometimes you can get head fakes, so be careful. The old low from 2022 is a support level, and there's more support just above that.
At this point, it's hard to tell. Give it a tiny bit of time. If it doesn't recover quickly, he wouldn't want to own it.
Lots of people were unhappy with the latest equity financing. Typical for income-focused securities. REITs and royalty companies tend to pay out most cashflows to shareholders; so when they want to do something, they need to raise equity. Makes it unable to deploy a counter-cyclical playbook the way a CNQ can. And in a cyclical industry, that's what creates the most value.
Dividends have more than made up for share price volatility. Market not recognizing value of company - shares remain highly under valued. Has annualized ~12% returns since inception. Not as widely recognized in the markets. Will continue to hold. Expecting higher share price going forward.
We think FRU can work here. FRU operates as a royalty company that owns royalty interests in the oil, gas and potash properties. It is a much less capital intensive energy play as a result which makes it an attractive business that typically trades at a relatively higher valuation. It is still cheap at 9x forward earnings and we think it is a good dividend name that benefits from lower rates. Other names we do prefer are ENB, H, and X due to more stable business models.
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Politics is a terrible way to invest. Freehold will probably do well because of government environmental incentives and the ESG trend. Pembina will do better if the Republicans win in the US or the Tories in Canada. There will still be a need for pipelines; green energy won't do the trick.
Believes dividend is safe. Strong business with good capital discipline. Royalty business capital light. Under valued business.