Stock price when the opinion was issued
Lower risk that E&P. It's chosen to be more active in the US, and activity levels have been a bit higher there. Q1 showed activity up 30% in US, down 30% in Canada. Now almost 70% of activity is in US.
Sometimes a Canadian company gets its head handed to them, because it just isn't part of the culture. Smaller than peers, so trades at a discount. He'd prefer TPZ. Yield of just under 10%.
He focuses on the top third of relative price performers in a group. The best companies tend to keep getting better. Decent assets, but relative price performance versus the market has been weakening since 2022. Lots of other opportunities for yield and dividend growth in the energy space. He'd prefer ARX or TOU.
Still in a downward trend, but getting very close to the top of that downward trend. Breaking out right now, and if that continues it looks like a good buy. Lots of support around $12.60; if it can hold above that, worth holding on to. Will probably run its course around $14, where there's very strong resistance. Yield is 8%.
Freehold Royalties reported strong second quarter (Q2) 2025 earnings, highlighted by solid production growth but with a year-over-year decline in profitability on lower commodity prices. Revenue was $78 million, reflecting continued operational momentum and a 9% year-over-year increase in total production. Total production grew by 9% compared to Q2 2024, indicating strengthened asset performance and successful leasing activity. Net income for the quarter was $6.24 million, which is a significant decrease versus $39.3 million in Q2 2024. Still, we like the production growth and valuation, and would see it as a BUY for the sector.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Owns the land that others drill and pay FRU a portion of what they extract. Loves it. One of the best management teams in the royalty space. Very good balance sheet. Very good geographic locations, both in Canada and (more recently) in US. Very conservative capital allocators. Very good dividend yield ~8%.
If you believe (as he does) that oil and gas prices will go up over next little while, then this name should perform from a bump up in drilling activity.
Likes the dividend of just below 8%. With that kind of yield, can't expect stock price to do that much. Up 6% this year, not as much as the market. Considering price of oil and that yield, she's OK with it. Breakeven oil price is ~$50, and they're transparent about this. Has cut dividend in past, but first to raise again when oil price recovers.
Likes management. Royalty, so not spending $$ on drilling and exploration. Will probably see more acquisitions in US.
Dividends have more than made up for share price volatility. Market not recognizing value of company - shares remain highly under valued. Has annualized ~12% returns since inception. Not as widely recognized in the markets. Will continue to hold. Expecting higher share price going forward.