
TSE:FRU
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
Freehold Royalties Ltd (FRU-T) has received mixed evaluations from experts, with a strong focus on its dividend yield, which is seen as safe and sustainable. Many analysts emphasize the stability offered by its royalty model, making it a favorable choice for defensive investors looking for steady income, especially in a fluctuating commodity market. While some experts suggest that the stock is not a long-term hold and point out the peak demand for fossil fuels, others see potential upside driven by ongoing growth in U.S. energy production and a favorable dividend yield. The general sentiment is one of caution, suggesting limited price upside but a preference for holding for yield rather than capital appreciation. Overall, the stock is viewed as a reliable option for investors seeking consistent income amid uncertain energy market conditions.
FRU is quite cheap at 11X earnings, and it has a strong balance sheet with net debt about 1X cash flow. Free cash flow is good and the dividend is good and now higher than its pre-covid level (it was reduced in the pandemic). In the context of the volatile oil and gas sector, we would be comfortable owning it.
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EPS beat estimates of 19c coming in at 23c. Revenue missed estimates of $83.4M coming in at $74.3M and declining 3% year-over-year. Profit increased 9.3% from the prior year. Royalty production dropped 0.7% in the quarter while average price per barrel also dropped 3.8% to C$54.81. The company recorded 22 new leases in the quarter. FRU will be highly dependent on oil prices & production for future growth. The quarter is OK despite the revenue miss and the dividend yield continues to be high.
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Pays nearly an 8% dividend. 40% of its NAV is now in the US and likely 80%of future activity will be there, in the Permian. Are also operating in Canada's Clearwater. They just reported disappointing growth, but he expects more growth in the U.S. rather than Canada. Not his go-to name. Nice dividend and no downside risk. You can sleep at night owning this, but he prefers others like Topaz.
Did well in 2021-2, but sideways in 2023 despite fundamentals improving. Pays a safe 7.8% dividend yield as they build free cash flow. Costs of production are only $5/barrel. Likely is the cheapest royalty company in North America. Downside is $12, while he targets as high as $30.
Lower beta way to get exposure to oil and nat gas. Conservative. Attempting M&A in US, but balance sheets are so strong, fewer companies need royalty deals to raise cash. Strong organic growth prospects next year. Yield is 7.5%, payout ratio at low 60% range. Trades at 8.5x, compared to the unjustified 14x for PSK.
Politics is a terrible way to invest. Freehold will probably do well because of government environmental incentives and the ESG trend. Pembina will do better if the Republicans win in the US or the Tories in Canada. There will still be a need for pipelines; green energy won't do the trick.