
TSE:EMA
This company had a big acquisition in the US and has a major project along the eastern seaboard into the US. The market is starting to question their dividend growth guidance. Overall, he looks to add to his holdings in the utility space ahead of the next recession in the next 2-3 years. You might see them get a little cheaper first, especially if it trades below $40 again.
This is best known for its legacy business of Nova Scotia Power. Today, it is now an international utility operator with over 80% of revenue coming from outside Canada. A weakness lies with a dropping ROE from 14% to only 9% -- meaning bigger is not always better. He expects to see a moderation in the growth of the dividend. A credit agency put them on watch in December. This is a reasonable entry. Yield 5.5%. (Analysts’ price target is $49 )
People buy this stock for safety. Normally this stock has very low volatility but it has dropped sharply. There is a price/volume divergence: volume is shooting up while the price is dropping. He thinks he is seeing panic sellers and value buyers. There is nice support at $39. With a 5.5% yield, there will be good income, but he doesn’t expect a quick recovery. This is significantly risky at this time.
All stocks that pay high dividends have been under pressure with the past year's interest rate hikes here in Canada, and this will continue. Can Emera outpace those rate increases with dividend increases? In short term, there's a lot of risk with rising rates, though these stocks provide defense and pay short-term dividends. These utilities need a lot of money to operate and need to borrow, so rising interest rates will effect them. But revenues from pipelines are constant which is positive. 5.7% yield
Stock hit 52-week lows lately. More to do with investors being too sensitive to interest rates and hurt by negative sensitive on Canadian oil. 90% of its earnings are regulated and has a solid portfolio with growth prospects in renewables, such as solar in Florida and hydro and wind in the east. Will see consistent growth and dividend increases. A miss in Q3 along with the oil space, but an over-4% dividend. Near-term won't see a change in stock price, but patience will be rewarded.
He likes it. It is well run. There are concerns around their balance sheet but feels they will get back to target ratios in the future.