
NYSE:DIS
Disney (DIS-N) or Yahoo (YHOO-Q) for a one year Hold? Both stocks have done very, very well and are both in a period of seasonal strength right now. This one’s period of strength is from October right through until at least the end of February and sometimes even longer. Hold them both, but both of them are getting closer to the end of their period of seasonal strength.
This company has done extremely well. Its seasonal time period is from October 1 to February 15. On average it has actually produced a 19.6% rate of return. They raised their dividend by 34%, which is a huge amount for them. 1) Fundamentally it is a good place, 2) technically it is a good spot and, 3) seasonally this is a very strong period for them.
(A Top Pick Nov 6/13. Up 34.47%.) It is his view that the Cdn$ will continue to back off from the US$, so he has looked at a lot of US ideas. When the consumer has a little more money, the 1st thing they spend it on is travel and leisure, and this company plays into that theme. Their franchises in the movie business are exceedingly good.
A media conglomerate and content provider. Stock has pulled back a little. ESPN just signed a new affiliate agreement this past year, so going forward she expects an improvement in revenues. There is a lot of momentum behind some of their movies. When the studio does well, this is a real positive for their other businesses, such as parks and resorts, because they can leverage off those themes. Have also been putting some money in to improve some of the attractions in their resorts, which is helping to drive traffic as well as spend. Disney Shanghai is opening at the end of 2015, but after that, she expects their CapX to be moderating.
For long-term hold, would it be Starbucks (SBUX-Q) or Disney (DIS-N)? He doesn't own either. They are both fairly expensive with Starbucks trading at about 25X earnings and this one at about 20X. Regarding growth metrics, Starbucks is probably a little bit growthier, but he feels it has some risk. If he had to choose one, it would probably be this, but he sold his holdings about a year ago.
Part of the wonder has been ESPN and theme parks. It is very free cash flow generative. A number of the parks they are in are having the cap-X rolling off, so it gives them capital to invest. It is fairly fully valued so be weary of buying at these levels.