TSE:CWB

Canadian Western Bank (CWB.TO)

56.63
-0.62 (1.08%)
as of Feb 4, 2025, 9:00:00 pm Market Open.
174 watching
0
COMMENT

Working to diversify, including owning Ontario real estate. Undergoing a review to calculate capital differently which, if successful, would let them compete more aggressively on loan products. Regional banks are trades for him, in and out. Prefers this to LB.

HOLD
Fine as a holding. But the majors are cheap enough, and they'll move first. Slightly higher losses coming to CWB because of the oil patch. It's a hold. Wouldn't worry about the dividend too much, but he'd prefer one of the majors at this stage.
DON'T BUY

Focused on the western part of the country and which is still going through a difficult economic period of time. It has had a decent couple of years as credit losses have been kept to a decent low. Their traditional business of lending with a flat yield curve is very difficult. He prefers TD-T and RY-T because they are doing the best with regards to investing.

COMMENT
He sees companies with better diversification outside Canada (the big Canadian banks), though CWB is generally fine and so is its current share price.
DON'T BUY
It's correlated to Canadian oil. The next phase will be a recession, so oil prices will likely see $25 rather than $75. This means, CWB will fall too.
BUY
Got stuck at $40 and had a sell-off. $20-40 range, so there's plenty of upside here. He's worried about this sector, but CWB has already sold off, so he's not worried about it.
DON'T BUY
A good bank, but he questions if it's best in breed. Best in breed involves dominant industry position, sustainable competitive advantage, very strong management, high margins and ROC. There are better examples in the banking industry. Not very diversified geographically. Wealth management, insurance, and capital markets are voids in its portfolio.
HOLD

A mortgage- and loan-heavy bank, so it's more volatile than the big banks. But volatility is opportunity. Don't trade out of this for one to buy one of the big guys. Just stick with it.

COMMENT

Tied in with Alberta's economy, but in the past few years has surprised all--its loans losses aren't as bad as people feared. They've weathered the oil crisis very well. Prefers banks not as regional as this one. If you're positive about Alberta's outlook, then CWB is a good hold. A few new pipelines would boost sentiment.

COMMENT

National Bank or Canadian Western Bank or Laurentian? Definitely National. It's growing in asset management and spending on technology, adapting their tech to their data findings. Drawback is it's Canadian-only focus. That said, he prefers larger banks operating in U.S. like TD and Royal.

DON'T BUY

Doesn’t like. They don’t own any of the banks in Canada. It’s one he would avoid he doesn’t see good upside. Had a nice rebounce coming back from the energy issues that plagued the sector in 2015 and early 2016. If he owned, he would look at trimming and wouldn’t be picking up here. The oil environment has improved and gotten a lot better and thinks Canadian Western Bank is fully valued at this point. It’s a valuation issue, and also a broader issue around the banking sector with valuations, you are paying for the fundamentals, and thinks fundamentals are rather toppy in terms of the credit cycle.

HOLD

Although located in the West, the company is not dependent on oil and gas. They’ve been doing well. Have broken into eastern Canada a little. It is probably worth holding. 2.7% dividend yield.

DON'T BUY

This has had a great recovery with both the oil recovery and housing worries abatement. He wouldn’t look at this in relation to other Canadian banks. Has a yield of under 3%, and you can get Bank of Nova Scotia or Royal Bank that is closer to 4%.

BUY

It has had a wonderful rally. He is more constructive now on energy than in quite some time. This is a help from western Canada. He prefers US banks to Canadian but certainly this one is acting great and he would not have a problem owning it.

DON'T BUY

This one is in the work out phase. He stays with the larger banks. You are takin on the Western economy with this one. He prefers BNS-T and TD-T.

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