TSE:CVE

Cenovus Energy (CVE.TO)

43.99
-0.13 (0.29%)
as of Sep 29, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
884 watching
0
BUY ON WEAKNESS

They have been the blue chip gem amongst the 5 we have in Canada. Their main project, the oil sands project has some of the best oil ratios. They had a little hiccup in their operations which is a buying opportunity. They used to be the go to name that would not have hiccups but now it has reversed. It is a great core holding under $30. 4% dividends and 6% growth.

TOP PICK

Feels the growth profile of this company is better than some of the others because they are very big in SAGD and are good at it and have great, long-term properties. Have 3 properties now and expanding. Have a couple more that, in time, will come on. Growth production will be about 10% a year going out to 2020. Increased their dividend 10% this year and, if the growth production comes on, he expects them to increase their dividend 5%-10% for the next 3-4 years at least.

BUY

A very good Canadian Company. Still bearish on the gas side. Took out his positions some time ago and has recently bought back in because stock was recently put down because the spread of heavy oil vs. WTI was so great. Margins are much more attractive. Thinks you will see a lot of forecast revisions. Good time to add to it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 20/12. Up 1.29%.) His thinking a year ago was that energy stocks were cheap and this one was well run with probably 8%-10% production growth over 10 years. It applies now because it really hasn’t moved so he still likes it.

TOP PICK

Excellent long-term growth profile. This is the premier SAGD operator in terms of lowest costs. Fully integrated through its deal with ConocoPhillips (COP-N). He is looking for growth in excess of 10% a year on the volume. Company has targeted 11% for the next 10 years. Yield of 3.09% and he expects a 10% growth per year.

PAST TOP PICK

(A top pick June 29/12. Down 4.54%.) Struggling along with the group and he sees no reason why it should struggle. Operationally they are firing on all metrics and producing about 280,000 barrels per day. One of the best operators in the SAGD oil sands. Looking for a 10% compound annual growth over the next 10 years.

DON'T BUY

Prefers others. It is a case of how oil production will look next year and what happens to the keystone and Canada East decisions. Prefers CPG-T

DON'T BUY

Very well run oil sand company. Have some of the most economic oil sand deposits in Canada with the breakeven price of about $40-$45. Trades at a premium because it is viewed as a more quality name. Can’t see any real catalysts.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 3/13. Down 7.14%.) Still one of his highest conviction names. Would still recommend this. Great, deep resource base. Raised their dividend 2 years in a row, 10% each time. Good long-term holding.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Apr 10/12, Down 14.03%) Over time is one of the better quality energy companies out there, but energy is weak right now because global growth is weak. There is no reason to be there right now. Wait until industrial economy is picking up in the US and China.

BUY

Has some Nat Gas production which is a hedge for the production costs of the oil sands. He has shied away from oil sands producers because of execution on projects but CVE has stood out head and shoulders above their pier group. He only owns CPG-T

BUY

Underowned and underliked by the big money out there.

TOP PICK

Low cost producer. Has refining also. Most sensible, conservative way he can own oil in Western Canada. It is 3% position for him.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick April 4/12. Down 9.91%.) Still thinks it’s a great name to own. Has been hampered by concerns over the oil differentials. Had very strong results in the 1st quarter of their refinery.

PARTIAL BUY

The negative with this is the sector it is in but it is one of the top ranked stocks on Bay Street. Very strong dividend yield. Down at these levels, you could start nibbling away. US and global investors have a new, very strong interest in US energy, so money is flowing that way.

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