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Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)

HOLD
If this unfolds over the next year or two, this could be a low price. A long term view is needed for this one.
BUY
Wouldn't be out if the question for them to split 2 for 1 or 3 for 1.
TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 21/05. Up 19%.) Has the prospects of stage 3 expansion being implemented next year. Sees subsatntial increases in distributions down the road.
BUY
The most attractive feature on this is its long life through the oil sands. Generates a high level of cash flow.
DON'T BUY
Has been lightening up on his position. The issue is their cost overruns. Keep hearing that they are going to get it right, but 2 years later and still haven't got it right. A "show me" trust.
BUY
His favourite long term holding.
DON'T BUY
Not one of his favourites because his focus in trusts is on the income and cash flow. The payout from this one has been very low. This trust would be for anyone looking for a long, long term hold on oil assets. Really a proxy for holding barrels of oil for a long period. Individuals would be better with one of the more conventional oil/gas trusts.
DON'T BUY
Has a model price of $77.37.
BUY
Likes this trust. Generates a significant cash flow. Has been bid up so high, the relative yield is low, but wouldn't be concerned as they will continue to grow their production.
BUY
The best way to play the tar sands through an income trust.
TOP PICK
Hasn't been fully valued for its anticipated future production. If you own, you'll be well rewarded for both capital appreciation and for its distribution.
BUY
One trust they have been positive on and it didn't sell off too much. Likes because they have no exploration risks. They are the biggest owner of Syncrude which has no exploration risks, Enough oil sands to last for many, many years.
TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 15/05. Down 3%.) Under $80 it's a great buying opportunity. It is fundamentally a long term BUY & Hold story. Growing reserves. In the '06 time frame it's going to increase production 50%. Even though operational costs are high, it's costs on final delivery are $3 versus the average of $13.
HOLD
Bullish on the long term story of the Canadian Oil Sands. Has had a significant run up. If you own, it would be prudent to take a little bit of money off the table.
BUY
Likes this trust and would continue to buy at this price.
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