Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)

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140 watching

DON'T BUY

Bought quite a chunk when it was very, very cheap during the dip in Jan/Feb. Getting a little expensive here. His model price is $40.84 a negative of 2% or 3%. He will probably sell this shortly. Try to buy oil on the dips.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 13/07. Up 46% including distributions.) Chose this because of its growth in both cash flow and production. No longer a growth expansion. To get some growth in the oil sands, he took a little money off the table and put it in UTS Energy (UTS-T). Not a Buy at this time.

BUY

Great dividend and will probably see an increase later this year once they go through the turnaround on the coker and upgrader. Good stable income. Buy and put away for the long-term.

BUY

(Market Call Minute.) The big problem in the oil sands is the enormous inflation in their capital costs. However, oil prices will continue to be firm.

BUY

Energy space is interesting. Likes that there will be increased production as it goes along. He expects oil prices to stay pretty firm.

DON'T BUY

The overall market went up, but this one got stuck. There is no momentum here. Would sell this one, but not particularly today. There may be an overall market rally.

BUY

Payout ratio is going to be about 86/87% based on estimates. A long term-annuity. The biggest owner of Syncrude. As the debt gets paid down, the payout will continue to go up. Likes of very much.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Nov 10/06. Up 24.8% including distributions.) Excellent company. Basically a cash-generating machine. Should be a core holding in any energy portfolio. Still a Buy.

BUY

Every investor should have oil sands exposure. The purer the play, the better. Canadian Oil Sands (COS.UN-T) or Suncor (SU-T) are great ways to play this. When you move away from them, you are moving to players that have yet to produce which gives uncertainty.

BUY

Has an approximate 40-year reserve life. With increased cash flow, they can increase distributions or be bought out. Either way you benefit.

BUY

You want to be in the oil sands regardless of the government’s royalty review. If you want to play oil, this is one of the great ways to play it.

COMMENT

Hit a peak in 06, nice little pullback, and is now going up. Where it's at now is just a little higher than what it was before, so it's at resistance. It may be time for a yellow caution flag and you may be able to get it at $32. If it goes to a new high, that's when he would like to buy it.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He likes oil and thinks prices will firm up and start moving over $100 this winter. Thinks you will see an all-time high on the stock next year. Buy in the low $30's.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Guidance is a little bit on the low end. Costs are going to go up. There are a lot of headwinds in the way. Would try to buy under $33. If you own, put it away for a long period of time.

PAST TOP PICK

(Past Top Pick Nov 24/06. Up 20%.) Increased distributions this year. Starting to trim shares when it gets into the high $30's. Feels the fundamental price of oil is closer to $75. Still a long-term Hold.

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Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO)