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TSE:CNQ
Technical opportunity in the energy space. Oil topping $80/barrel gives it industry-leading free cashflow. Robust, sustainable business and dividend. Well run, amazing revenue growth. Good value with more upside. Target price of $91. Weaker USD will benefit all commodities. Yield is 4.24%.
(Analysts’ price target is $91.26)All the oil/gas companies have reserves reviewed annually, which evaluates inventory depth. He scrutinizes operating costs. CNQ has extreme inventory depth on oil, in addition to longer-term optionality on natural gas. Massive insider ownership. May just win the race to reach the inflection point of returning 100% of free cashflow to investors.
Currently buying shares in the company.
Excellent management team with free cash producing assets.
Oil production will continue to grow.
Major capital expenditures over - able to produce oil with less costs.
Expected to generate $12 billion in free cash in 2024 ($80 billion market cap).
Higher dividends and share buybacks will continue.
Outlook for Canadian energy much better.
~5% dividend yield that is very stable.
A core holding. They've never cut the dividend and have grown it for many years. One of the best management teams anywhere in the world; are great counter-cyclical buyers. He's very bullish natural gas, which is another tailwind for CNQ. Their Oil Sands are best in class and will continue to produce steady cash flow.
Our PAST TOP PICK with CNQ has achieved its target at $90. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $70) to $75.