TSE:CNQ

Canadian Natural Rsrcs (CNQ.TO)

70.17
-1.53 (2.13%)
as of Sep 16, 2026, 4:02:01 pm Market Open.
1408 watching
0
BUY ON WEAKNESS

No qualms with buying. Kryptonite to unwind rally would be a reversal in price of oil. Oil is at a 52-week high, and this stock tends to trade in lockstep with it. Above-peer-quality assets, management, capital allocation, return to shareholders, and financial strength. If own, hold. If not, and you believe in the oil rally, buy on dip. Quality compounder.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Good management, executes incredibly well. Shareholder-friendly moves. Ability to make acquisitions in tough times. Oil can creep up from here. Look for a pullback, or buy 1/2 a position now and the rest later. Very stable. Yield close to 4%.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 29/24, Up 27%)

A Top 10 holding. Suits all portfolios. Close to a 5% dividend, growing at north of 20%. Committed to returning all free cashflow to investors. High quality, very well managed. If he'd been allowed, he'd have used it as a Top Pick again today.

BUY

Oil was underpriced, but geopolitical risk and a warmer economy have helped raise prices. Oil is breaking out. CNQ already has. You need energy in your portfolio.

COMMENT

The question was on his preference re Canadian Natural Resources or TC Energy. TRP has a lot of debt and it's hard to build a pipeline. CNQ has driven down debt. It will sit at a lower level of around $10 billion and return excess money to shareholders.

DON'T BUY
Sell CPX to buy CNQ?

Two different companies. CPX is a utility, with better income distribution and lower growth. CNQ has a nice dividend, but with better growth. What are you looking for? For income, pick CPX. For growth, pick CNQ.

At current levels, he'd stick with CPX for the dividend and potential upside. More potential for upside growth, less potential for downside risk.

BUY

Large-cap oil will continue to do well. Using capital in shareholder-friendly ways by increasing dividend, paying down debt, and buying back shares. Believes in buying Canadian oil/gas.

BUY

They've been shooting the lights out lately. He's very bullish energy stock. He picked up quality names like this and Cenovus when oil fell below $70. WCS prices will narrow the gap with WTI when the Transmountain pipeline kicks into full gear in Q2.

BUY

Very string company. Excellent earnings in 2023. Very strong management team. Debt levels falling - have pledged 75-100% return of cash flow to investors. Strong oil prices very good for business. Expecting higher dividends going forward. Oil sands asset very long life that doesn't require exploration costs. Overall a very great business. 

WAIT

Very good operations. High quality. Well managed. Results can sometimes be volatile due to cyclicality. Impressive free cashflow. Price of energy should remain high due to China reopening plus geopolitical events. Paying down debt. Dividend and buybacks. Fundamentals are strong, but at all-time high. Try SU instead. Impressive yield around 4.5%.

TOP PICK

Broke out from the old lid, consolidating. Not zooming for the moon, but the pattern is that it's not breaking down. If oil moves as he thinks it will between now and May/June, this will probably be one of the leaders, as it's been one of the leaders in a rather crummy market for oil stocks. Yield is 4.52%.

(Analysts’ price target is $95.87)
BUY

They grow by buying companies, but not doing that now. It's a steady producer. They've raised their dividend 23 years in a row, and have a reserve life index of 32 years, so they can take their time. They will mee their debt target and return capital to shareholders. CNQ holds up well even if the oil price declines.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 13/23, Up 11%)

Excellent management team with very strong track record of capital allocation. Long dates assets give investors lots of opportunities. Energy demand will continue with rise in demand for oil and gas. Currently no alternative to oil and gas - will result in high profits. 

HOLD
Explain the drop?

Not always a 1:1 tracking with the commodity price. Sometimes investor appetite for a name. Great name. Pricey compared to peers. He'd favour TOU or SU for its valuation. Oil will have its day, and CNQ will be fine. Don't worry.

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The recent pullback has been largely due to the pressure in energy prices. The company itself has not had any materially negative news. Energy prices can be volatile, but we think fundamentally CNQ is still a great operator with disciplined capital allocation. CNQ is trading at 10.3x Forward P/E, and generating healthy cash flow, which is being paid out as special dividends and buybacks. We would be okay adding some here.
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