
TSE:CLS
This summary was created by AI, based on 34 opinions in the last 12 months.
Celestica Inc (CLS-T) has become a prominent player in the tech manufacturing space, particularly benefiting from the AI and data centre buildout trends. Experts generally praise its recent performance, noting significant revenue growth and a strong demand backdrop, especially in AI-related sectors. However, opinions diverge regarding its valuation, with many expressing caution due to the high price-to-earnings multiples, which some believe may overestimate future earnings. Several analysts recommend taking profits at current levels, citing volatile trading conditions and the inherent risks of investing in a sector tied closely to AI. While there is optimism about the company's growth trajectory, many advise waiting for a pullback before initiating new positions, thus reflecting a cautious but optimistic outlook for Celestica's future.
With this type of stock, he asks himself whether it's just not better to own NVDA? CLS is benefiting today from data centre buildout and relationship with GOOG (an open secret). Those dynamics don't make them the best position in the value chain relative to NVDA and other players.
It's the end of the bullwhip effect. NVDA is the real, bleeding-edge innovator in the ecosystem. Sell CLS, and roll the gains into NVDA.
The chart is going straight up. They're moving from contract producers of electronics for others to consulting and apps. Earnings forecast is rising. The question is how long this will go. The last time the chart did this was in 2000. If it returns to its 2000 level, shares could double. He wouldn't sell now.
When everything's going up together, makes it harder to differentiate on a technical basis. He compares stocks head to head using charts to see which are outperforming.
Right now, NVDA has been the highest ranked stock in US reports, and that's the one he holds. In Canada, CLS has been the highest-ranked stock, and his portfolios hold that as well. MU has been trailing a bit, but might catch up, hard to say.
CLS is nearing a 7% position in our growth model portfolio, and with other names also running higher in the model portfolio, its position size can shrink. We continue to like its momentum and our strategy has been to let it run so far. Forward growth is still expected to be high due to demand from the hyperscalers, and we see this demand lasting for another 12-18 months or so, at least. Position sizing is personal, but for now we have let it run its course in the model portfolio.
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Nice run. An AI play on data centres. Very aligned on spending of hyper-scalers like AMZN, MSFT and GOOG. Margins quite low, around 5%. But getting volume on very strong demand. Momentum stock.
Future growth and success predicated on capex spending beyond 2024, which hasn't been announced. Be cautious. Once growth rate starts to turn, stock will pull back.
This decline is temporary, though could last longer if the US Fed announces it will hold rates now and in September (he believes they won't). CLS is a core position, so he will keep adding to it.