
TSE:CCO
You have to have a long term focus. It will have periods of tremendous volatility. China and India will grow their need for energy in a big, big way. You need to be there as an investor. Buy on dips. Decommissioning of warheads in Russia is pretty much done so that is a reduction in supply. Understands Japan is getting ready to turn the switch back on.
Good news for uranium is that natural gas prices have started to pick up and it has been a colder than expected winter. If that continues, it could be positive for uranium. It seems that China is going full speed ahead with building nuclear power plants. The bottom line is that with cheap natural gas and cheap coal there is lots of competition. Cheaper to build natural gas powered and coal plants than it is uranium. He has no interest in this.
Doesn’t own any uranium in his portfolios. There are a lot of other low cost sources of energy and a lot of new technology in other areas of energy that brings in a lower cost supply. Also, uranium is very politically motivated. Hard to figure out how many new reactors China and Japan will be building and if there is the political will to build more nuclear power plants.
Metals tend to do ok this time of year but they are not so much this year and that buy itself is interesting. A lot of the types of sectors that tend not to do well have been outperforming. This one is following that pattern. A very defined level of resistance at $23. Support is around $17. Right now it is moving sideways between $17 and $23.
Used to be a huge booster of nuclear energy. Events in Japan after the tsunami was a bit of a game changer. More importantly, was the development of cheap sources of energy in North America. When you can get reasonably priced natural gas plants, why would you want to get involved with huge construction costs for nuclear power and the unknowable costs of decommissioning and the still undecided issues of storing radioactive fuel rods?
Has been some weakness in uranium prices recently. Doesn’t think the short-term outlook on supply/demand is sufficient to justify a purchase.