
TSE:CCO
This one along, with other uranium players, had a big pop today. Chart shows about 2.5 years of basing activity. Trying to break the $23 level again. If it does break through that level, the stock could be absolutely on fire. However, his rule of thumb is that if you are in this stock you are probably best hold as it may just break out on news from Japan. If you don’t own, he would hold off to see if it breaks out.
This is “the” direct play on uranium. What drives uranium market is what happens with the nuclear restarts in Japan. Also, the continual build in China and Russia and other emerging markets. Uranium spot prices are at around $40 with the long-term price at around $57. He prefers playing the commodity through Uranium Participation (U-T).
Likes that it is uniquely Canadian and a low cost producer in a long-term uranium environment. Over the years, they have had a cycle of brokers touting the stock with uranium prices moving up and the stock ultimately coming off. Better days are probably ahead and dividend payment is probably sustainable. He continues to watch this one for its long-term potential.
You have to have a long term focus. It will have periods of tremendous volatility. China and India will grow their need for energy in a big, big way. You need to be there as an investor. Buy on dips. Decommissioning of warheads in Russia is pretty much done so that is a reduction in supply. Understands Japan is getting ready to turn the switch back on.
Good news for uranium is that natural gas prices have started to pick up and it has been a colder than expected winter. If that continues, it could be positive for uranium. It seems that China is going full speed ahead with building nuclear power plants. The bottom line is that with cheap natural gas and cheap coal there is lots of competition. Cheaper to build natural gas powered and coal plants than it is uranium. He has no interest in this.
He is no longer an investor in this company because of 1) the Fukushima event in Japan and 2) the natural gas situation which makes power generation through nuclear energy look much more expensive than the available alternative.