
TSE:CCO
Chart shows that this had a nice little break out in the last couple of days, so technically the stock is in an upward trend. It’s trading above its 20 day moving average and outperforming the TSE Composite. Technicals are all turning positive at this point. Seasonality starts turning positive around the 2nd week of April, and continues to be very strong right through until the end of May.
He would categorize this as a short term hold and long-term buy. The uranium market continues to be a bit challenged. This looks expensive because they are the biggest uranium miner in the world. Because of that, they are given a premium. Because of the problems in Japan, a lot of uranium has come off as the Japanese shut down their nuclear reactors. They are starting to restart some which should create a surge of uranium demand this year and next. Feels there is potential here.
Built a big base in the $15-$16 area and has bounced off it several times. With this kind of stock, you look for successful tests off a base, and you try to trade that. Trading at this off a base, you could make a half decent buck in relatively short term trades. Let it finish dropping to the bottom of the base and bounce, and it is probably worth a buy.
The spot price has gone up on uranium, but the stocks have not responded. URA-T is an ETF that is a basket of uranium stocks and could be watched as representative of the sector. This is a time of year when the sector does well, yet this year it is still in a downward trend, so you want to wait until the technicals change before going in.
This was his top pick for 2015. Seasonality starts around this time of year until May. We had a break down last week and he expects a brutal 4th quarter because they just started up a new mine. Your down side risk is very, very minimal, but technicals are not good. You want to wait until this thing shows signs of bottoming later in the spring.
The “go to” name in uranium. If the uranium sector is going to do anything, the big money is going to go into this company. So far we haven’t seen that. The chart shows a huge trading range from 2012. Some day it is going to break out. He doesn’t think it is going to break down. Doesn’t think you are going to get hurt, but doesn’t think anything is going to really happen. Until a breakout on volume occurs, there is no hurry.
The price of uranium, whether it spot or contract, was really in the tank. Then the courts allowed nuclear reactors in Japan to start up again. There are 20 more that have applications in. Doesn’t feel power plants are going to make much difference to the price of uranium. If you are going to be in the uranium space, it should be Uranium Participation (U-T), not this one.