Cameco CorporationCCO.TODON'T BUYJan 30, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 25, 2026. Market Open.
It goes back to the fact that there's been some profit-taking over the past month or so. Still up 50% over last 12 months. Long-term, clean-energy/renewable theme makes a lot of sense. Fallen to around the 200-day MA, still pretty attractive from a technical perspective with its higher highs and higher lows.
He owns some bonds, but hasn't pulled the trigger on the equity. Disconnect between a 10-year horizon for contracts and the current spot price for uranium. Spot price won't be showing up in the profitability.
If you've made money, well done. Remember that commodities tend to overshoot in either direction. Don't add at these levels.
Beat last quarter, but guidance was a bit lower. Very attractive, multi-year outlook, but don't add here. About 40% growth, but trading ~75x PE for 2027. Ironically, a real risk to this name is if peace comes to the Ukraine-Russia war.
You have to have respect for stock prices at both ends of the extreme.
On uranium demand, the market is probably not going to come into balance until 2024 or so. It is hard to see how this company can do well when there is not going to be much of a lift in uranium. Expects it to be range bound for the foreseeable future in the $10-$15 range. It’s best of breed and he likes the name, but it is very hard without a resurgent in the uranium price. Doesn’t know why you would want to be a buyer of this.