Baytex Energy Corp (BTE.TO)

He owns it on the basis that their two key plays are the most economic in North America. They have been hurt in the market more than anticipated, but that may be because their debt levels are elevated.

Exited this stock months and months ago. An excellent company and has been well-managed. They have good assets. Heavy oil by drilling, not by extraction. They’ve bought into the Eagleford in the US and are spending most of their capital in that. Most recent earnings were less then stellar, and he thinks the company is going to suffer for a while. However, it will certainly survive. Have excellent, relatively low cost assets. 10.6% dividend yield, which he thinks is going to get cut.

This had the misfortune of buying a US asset at the peak of the market. The assets they bought are good quality as are the ones they have in Canada. Capable management. The debt load is pretty high at 4X cash flow, which is uncomfortably high. If you believe oil prices will bounce back quickly, this might be one that you want to own right now.

Hasn’t added to his position. Has a bit of a challenged balance sheet, which has made it a bit of a target for people who are Shorting oil. Thinks their assets are decent. The Eagleford is one of the few assets in North America that does okay at $50 oil. You may see more dividend cuts depending on oil prices.

There have been some management changes. The company has been having some issues with regulators. They have been trying to do some asset sales to get the balance sheet in shape. He thinks there are other places to be.

Great company, but he is staying away energy. It could be quite a while yet. Looking for oil to maintain at around $48.

This is on his list to add to, but hasn’t done it yet. You could add this to your portfolio now.

Oil stocks are tricky right now. This is a company with a stressed balance sheet. Pays a large yield which is a concern. He has a small Short on this. Scores average on momentum, valuation is pretty poor at 11X EBITDA, and they are not generating cash at these prices. Feels people are probably buying this for yield rather than its true valuation.

Has been hit hard here. It took on a sizeable amount of debt. They cut their dividend and capital program as well as issuing equity. Things are now looking okay for them. The assets are very good. There are more than enough positives to offset the debt.

(A Top Pick March 20/14. Down 42.43%.) When he recommended this, they were on the precipice of closing the Aurora transaction, which would have been really accretive for them if oils had stayed at the levels that he was modelling. Sold his holdings in the $30s.

(A Top Pick April 8/14. Down 48.08%.) Sold his company’s holdings, but still has a bit of his own. He thinks the dividend situation is somewhat suspect.

This has been a core holding for many years. In this type of the market, where commodity prices are depressed, they have clearly demonstrated that they are a company that investors have confidence in. The recent financing was upsized from $500 million-$550 million, and he understands that it was 5 times over subscribed. Their asset base is split between Eagleford light oil and heavy oil in Canada. The Eagle Ford light oil is non-operated, but is partnered with Marathon, which is where they are putting 80% of the capital this year.

(Top Pick May 22/14, Down 54.04%) He probably should have sold and come back later. It has good assets and a good cost base and they are a good company. When oil prices start to recover they will be a prime beneficiary of that. It is a high quality company and just needs some support from oil prices. He is not suggesting people back the truck up but just put a toe in. 6% yield. The Saudis can’t produce oil for the entire world and no one but they can make money at these levels.

They just lost an equity financing. Historically it was thought of as a heavy oil play and now it is a light oil play.

(Top Pick Feb 11/14, Down 48.26%) He sold in the spring after it ran up.