
TSE:BMO
This summary was created by AI, based on 14 opinions in the last 12 months.
Experts have mixed feelings about Bank of Montreal (BMO), though many highlight its stability and strong fundamentals. The bank is appreciated for its long-standing dividend record, and some analysts see it as a good investment for the next 3-5 years. However, concerns about the overall Canadian banking sector being fully valued and potential pressures from inflation have been mentioned. Many experts are also cautious about market conditions and suggest diversification. While some positive growth indicators exist, particularly in the U.S., the market's reaction to recent earnings has raised questions regarding the quality of the bank's loan portfolio and its valuation compared to peers.
He'd pick BMO. All Canadian banks are in solid financial position for the most part, attractive yields, stable earnings. Would love to see higher revenue growth, better-managed credit risk, and resilience in face of current headwinds. If BMO could do that, he'd raise it from Buy to Strong Buy.
He's a long-term investor. BMO will weather the short-term noise about credit quality in the US.
A lot of the US banks are growing around 10-15% and trading at lower valuations. Liked the Bank of the West purchase. Credit problems in its US business more than US competitors, concerning. Doesn't see growth in Canadian banks yet, economic headwinds, meeting ROE targets will be tough.
At some point, it gets too cheap. At $114, he'd be more a buyer than a seller.
He's very, very underweight the Canadian banking industry. Much prefers US banks in this environment. Canadian economy is going to underperform for a while, as we just don't have the oomph and the growth capacity that the US does. Plus, we have more of a housing issue.
Banks had a 40-year run as interest rates fell. They sold credit, and credit's going to get tough as interest rates rise. So, being a seller of credit isn't quite as good as it used to be. With interest rates in Canada coming down, the spread opportunities just aren't what they were.
Owns shares in the company. Strong company with excellent prospects. M&A turning out very well (Canadian Western Bank). Recent disappointing earrings not a concern. Characteristically cautious on loss provisions may turn out to be too conservative. Overall, is a strong business that will continue to own. All business segments in the business very strong.
Picking away at this name. Missed 2 quarters, increased loan loss provisions, and he expects this to continue for a couple more quarters. Short-term risk is that capital markets aren't as big in Canada as in the US. Concerns about Bank of the West acquisition timing, regional bank issues.
Those concerns are priced in. Coming through that, valuation now more attractive, good dividend while you wait. Getting to the point where earnings should turn up in the next year or so.
He lightened shares recently amid disappointing earnings in recent quarters, plus they made more credit provisions. Buying the bank of the west was huge. It now ranks at the bottom of Canadian banks, but tailwinds are developing for the long terms for Canadian banks.