
TSE:BCE
(Top Pick Jun 26/13, Up 6.39%) Would buy it here. He never believed that a big US telecom player was interested in Canada but the stock has not recovered from it and it was hit by the yield trade. Safe dividend that should increase once per year. Doing well on smart phone penetration. Some really good upside at this price.
Bell Canada (BCE-T) versus Rogers (RCI.B-T)? These are both benefiting from the recent news that international players are bidding on Spectrum. Spectrum licenses will cost both of them lower now. It looks like a 4th carrier is not viable. Between the two he would be putting his money on Rogers. This company has some headwinds. The Astral purchase is not giving them as much free cash flow as he would’ve liked. Experiencing higher CapX to deploy their FIBE and wireline margin erosion has bugged them for a long time.
All telcos really sold off through the spring and summer, both in the US and Canada. Believes that we have seen the lion’s share of the initial move higher in the 10 and 20 year bond rates and that is likely to neutralize over the next little while. Interest sensitives in general will do better over the next little while. He still prefers to own something that gets a little bit of a lift from a better economy, like financials, but for those looking for yield, this is pretty attractive. He would prefer Telus (T-T), which has a little bit better internal growth and will buy back shares and give you dividend increases of 10% a year for the next 3 years.
If you just want income, hold on to it. Dividend is safe and decent long term income flow. Concerned about regulatory risk with all telecoms.