
TSE:BCE
This summary was created by AI, based on 44 opinions in the last 12 months.
BCE Inc. has faced considerable market pressures, primarily influenced by rising competition from new players such as Starlink and Spacex, which challenge traditional telecom models. The recent cut to its dividend has made its payout ratio more manageable, prompting some experts to classify BCE as a tactical buy. While the consensus indicates a stable core business with a strong dividend yield—around 5%—many analysts express caution about future growth prospects, citing pricing pressures and a competitive landscape. Additionally, BCE's strategic move towards AI and data centers is viewed positively, but it also raises concerns over increased capital expenditures. Overall, while there is potential for stability and some growth, most discussions lean towards BCE being a defensive income stock rather than a high-growth opportunity.
He sold it at the start of the year. It's hard to own the telcos (still holds Telus). The problem is that the expectation over 5G hasn't paid off yet. Also, the capex spend is high. Third, they hold all these media assets. He'd rather see a purer telecom play. Also, the CRTC wants more telco players. It was good that BCE cut their dividend, but should have done it earlier.
The question was on both companies in the telecom sector. BCE did an acquisition in the US and have to prove out those numbers as well as get the leverage down. Telus didn't fall on the same hard times and the dividend is solid. Wireless is starting to turn better and landlines too. Three to four quarters should show unproved financials. Both have turned the corner.
Still sees it as a pretty asset-rich company. Dividend's been reset. Stock has attracted a few upgrades. Bounce from $29 to $34 is already pretty significant. Happy to buy down here where nobody wants it. It's one of those durable companies, need for telecommunications is not going away.
BCE has already seen two broker upgrades following its investor day. BCE outlined plans to save $1.5B and expand internet service westward, targets $1.5B in AI revenue, and expects revenue growth of 4%. Free cash flow is expected to rise 7% annually through 2028. Opening up competition remains a threat. Overall, investors were pleased with a solid cost-reduction plan but challenges certainly remain.
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The shares have gone down, and so have his shares. The market is looking past 2025. The wireless market has seen strong competition, and the markets hope this stabilizes in the future, perhaps from less immigration. BCE surprised many with its US acquisition which could add 500,000 customers. Pays a good 5.5% dividend. Isn't much downside from here.
Looking at the downward channel on the chart, no reason to own this stock yet. Seeing nascent bottoming pattern. If it traded in a sideways band going into next year, then he'd be OK with holding it for the dividend until it gets more interesting.
Great dividend, but you don't want to own it at the expense of losing some capital. Dividend is important, but it can't outweigh capital erosion.
Investment community appears to have come around to the Ziply acquisition. His team, too, didn't like the acquisition or the dividend cut. When a stock is wounded or hurt, people will abandon it. A wave of selling from both quant and passive investors that isn't necessarily rational.
But you don't get a stock moving up this much without some serious institutional interest. Look at the lessons of MFC or ALA. Especially if a name is a bigger weight in the index, once they start to turn they can move a long way. He's not saying it's going back up to $70, but thinks it can get back to $40. Yield of 5% while you wait for that to happen.
Let's look at the 3-year chart. Definitely turning the corner after a 3-year downtrend. Dividend cut helped. Telcos are boring and defensive, lower beta. So they'll weather the upcoming corrective storm of 1-3 months. Doesn't mind nibbling here, but during weakness he'd be putting $$ to work in the more cyclical areas of the market.
The plan is OK. Lots of moving parts. The turnaround from overpaying the dividend is there. Looking forward, dividend's probably safe; can probably start growing it again 3-4 years from now when the fibre play starts to pay off. Fibre is a big move to the future; if it works, it'll be spectacular.
CRTC decision today to allow competitors to use BCE's fibre footprint will reduce profits, as the access price will be regulated. Hopefully the regulated price will at least cover the costs. Also takes away the oligopoly aspect.
It's time to step back into telcos. Dividends are sustainable. He owns all 3 Canadian telcos. Share prices have bottomed, and he expects margin improvement. Costs have been slashed. Is partially optimistic, because shares have been so beaten down, and yet the industry isn't going anywhere. There will be some growth going forward. Is bullish on telcos. BCE's strategy in the US (buying a US company) will generate reasonable value. Telus is the faster grower and has made good moves outside telecoms to create value. Rogers is more of a question mark, including their sports holding, but is worth a ton of money (the value of sports teams is huge).
He fully understands the plan, which is to sell covered calls and then get called away as part of a tax-loss strategy. He's not an accountant, so can't give tax advice.
Some people sell a stock, and then sell an in-the-money put or a cash-covered put to maintain some exposure to that stock. Just make sure you're not re-acquiring the stock within 30 days (or the tax loss won't count).
The recent announcement for 700 layoffs is viewed by analysts to be a true efficiency and cost-cutting move, rather than signs of competitive weakness. It trades at 12x earnings, 1.6x book and supports a robust 37% ROE. The dividend is backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We also like that cash reserves are growing. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $27, looking to achieve $39 - upside potential of 18%. Yield 5.3%
(Analysts’ price target is $36.15)