
TSE:BCE
He's not a big fan of momentum trades, but he doesn't keep his head in the sand either on stocks he already owns. Five or six brokers have just upgraded this name, this affects the quants, which affects the fund flows. Met with management, very pleased with tack being taken. Ziply has potential for upside surprise.
As markets get choppier and froth starts to come out, will probably see money flow back to what's cheap and stable. He tax-lossed it for some clients, others will too, so January will see some buying coming in. This is a long-haul play; frustrating to see it fall from $63, but will probably make it back someday. Yield is 5.35%.
#1 would probably be Telus. BCE is also in there. Names like AC, MFI, PRL, GSY, WFG, and TFII. All of these stocks are cheaper than they ought to be. All things being equal, those names should be higher in January than they are now.
He sold it at the start of the year. It's hard to own the telcos (still holds Telus). The problem is that the expectation over 5G hasn't paid off yet. Also, the capex spend is high. Third, they hold all these media assets. He'd rather see a purer telecom play. Also, the CRTC wants more telco players. It was good that BCE cut their dividend, but should have done it earlier.
The question was on both companies in the telecom sector. BCE did an acquisition in the US and have to prove out those numbers as well as get the leverage down. Telus didn't fall on the same hard times and the dividend is solid. Wireless is starting to turn better and landlines too. Three to four quarters should show unproved financials. Both have turned the corner.
Still sees it as a pretty asset-rich company. Dividend's been reset. Stock has attracted a few upgrades. Bounce from $29 to $34 is already pretty significant. Happy to buy down here where nobody wants it. It's one of those durable companies, need for telecommunications is not going away.
BCE has already seen two broker upgrades following its investor day. BCE outlined plans to save $1.5B and expand internet service westward, targets $1.5B in AI revenue, and expects revenue growth of 4%. Free cash flow is expected to rise 7% annually through 2028. Opening up competition remains a threat. Overall, investors were pleased with a solid cost-reduction plan but challenges certainly remain.
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The shares have gone down, and so have his shares. The market is looking past 2025. The wireless market has seen strong competition, and the markets hope this stabilizes in the future, perhaps from less immigration. BCE surprised many with its US acquisition which could add 500,000 customers. Pays a good 5.5% dividend. Isn't much downside from here.
Looking at the downward channel on the chart, no reason to own this stock yet. Seeing nascent bottoming pattern. If it traded in a sideways band going into next year, then he'd be OK with holding it for the dividend until it gets more interesting.
Great dividend, but you don't want to own it at the expense of losing some capital. Dividend is important, but it can't outweigh capital erosion.
Our PAST TOP PICK with BCE is stagnating. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $27) to $30 at this time.