Stockchase Opinions

Rob McConnachie Brookfield Asset Management Inc (A) BAM.A-T BUY Sep 23, 2019

It is a core holding. It is a very well run operation. They are smart at going into areas early. A great core holding for any investor.
$70.480

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY

BN vs. BAM

He prefers holding the original Brookfield, whose discount to NAV is steeper than the asset management company. If you want exposure to infrastructure, utilities, etc. then he prefers BN to BAM.

BUY

Prefers it to BRK.B. One of the new Berkshire Hathaways, with a better succession plan.

TOP PICK

The most pure play exposure to fee-related earnings. Fee-related earnings on third-party capital are the most highly valued and sought-after part of the alternative asset managers. About 25% is exposed to real estate, but it's over-exposed (relative to a BX) to infrastructure and credit, which should do pretty well in an inflationary environment. Infrastructure inflation escalators will continue to hold in. Opportunities in credit, with the carnage we've seen in markets. Good environment when you have capital to deploy, and it just raised $15B. Yield is 4.14%.

(Analysts’ price target is $49.37)
DON'T BUY
Dividend with more potential to go up?

BAM, but he'd be wary of both right now because of the office side. BAM was spun out and it's largely private equity. Concerns him because it doesn't get revalued as frequently as publicly traded stocks. With interest rates having risen as much as they have, and potential economic weakness, there might be a risk to valuation. Public equity is a black box, so he's wary.

BUY
BAM vs. BN for an older investor

BAM was the parent before the spin-off. Now, BN is the parent that owns the various entities. So now the new BAM is a fee-related earnings business that pays a 4% dividend yield, It boils down to BAM having the yield vs. BN offering growth. BAM is for older investors seeking income, while BN is for younger, long-term investors.

HOLD
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks

BAM trades at a 7.1x PE, pays a 3.9% dividend yield with a target payout ratio of 90%. Managers are aiming to double its business in five years, which would approach the historic growth average of 14.6% of its parent company. Price-to-book is 1.4x and price-to-cash flow 4.8x. The street has three buys, one hold and one sell at a price target only 8.7% higher at $48.22. Comparing BAM to BN, BAM has gained nearly 13% since Dec. 12 and BN -1.15%. Read Which Brookfield? for our full analysis.

BUY
BN vs. BAM

Which is the better investment depends on your view of real estate. BN owns 75% of BAM, but you're also getting a huge real estate portfolio and that's primarily offices. Great locations, but under pressure with return to work not happening. So, value of real estate holdings has dropped considerably, and that's affected the shares. If you have a constructive view on real estate, you can get BN at a very good price here.

BAM continues to clip the coupon on fee-generating revenue. If you want more of a steady as she goes, pick this one.

Track record of management behind both is exceptional. Longer term, you'll do well.

HOLD
BAM vs. BN

Over the next year interest rates should reverse, so we should see some good pickup in stocks that are yield plays. Not looking for big gains on these types of stocks.

Chart for BN shows the common pattern of a peak in 2021, and then a decline in 2022. Lots of correlation with the market. Now the stock's bottoming out, and we'll have to see where the next trend is. Decent support around $41, so you're OK if it stays above that. So many other stocks to choose from, he wouldn't touch this one.

BAM has been consolidating. Hard to trade, as the trading range is quite narrow. It's a buy from a yield perspective. If it breaks above $48 and hits a new level, a whole new round of buyers will come in. Holds it for some clients as a way to diversify.

BUY

Great shareholder alignment. Fantastic compounder over decades, 30-year compound annual rate of return around 18%. Pullback mainly due to real estate pressures is very buyable. Sharp, capable operators.

BUY

BN owns a percentage of BAM. BN is trading at a discount to NAV, widest discount in a long time, which is why you want to look at buying it here. Working at home has hurt BN's commercial properties. BN has raised lots of capital, great company, well run. BAM and BN are two of the best businesses you can own.