
NYSE:BABA
An important Chinese company. Only 16% of Chinese stocks have an upward bias now. He closely watches Chinese stocks. Alibaba has held on longer than most in China, but it eventually broke support at $170. He needs the Chinese market and Alibaba to recover (to $170) before he steps back in. We're in a time when he'd favour US stocks over Chinese given trade tensions.
This is a density play. The population density in China is so great that digital communications is deeply needed (i.e. to get things delivered and communicate with people). Alibaba has executed very well. Hold or sell if you're underwater now. Valuations are stretched. You can see a better entry point letter. If there's a global recession he would definitely buy this.
He doesn’t think that Alibaba has dropped very much compared to its volatility. He sees this stock as defensible: he likes the market, the industry and the name. He sees the technical action of the stock as a consolidation pattern. The company is growing rapidly. It’s PE ratio is high but its PEG ratio (price/earnings relative to growth) is not far from 1, which is a reasonable level. Compared to other momentum stocks, like Netflix, a stock with a PEG of 1 is priced much less aggressively. (Analysts’ price target is $241.14)
The IPO was done at around $70-$80 per share. There is concern over the US currency exposure. This is on-trend with the growing middle class in China. Sales are growing at 18-20% per year, which justifies the valuation. It is a good long term hold.