Bell Aliant (BA.TO)

BUY
Likes the prospects. Nice and steady. Mot a lot of growth. Dividend is safe. Still looking at 7-1/2 to 8% after they convert and cut it a little.
HOLD
(Market Call Minute) Question of distribution
TOP PICK
As an income trust, their accounting is a little opaque. Expect it to do better after it converts to a corporation. Have been paying too much in distributions but expects this to end. Looking for a 5.5%-6% dividend.
COMMENT
Had concerns that payout ratio was too high so he sold. Announced they are reducing their payout ratio and converting to a corp. New payout ratio will probably be 70%-75%. Also have issues with their subscribers being taken away by cable operators and this will be a constant grind on their business. If you are looking for a little bit of growth, this would not be his 1st pick.
DON'T BUY
(Market Called Minute.) Strictly a no-growth legacy story. There is also no potential for increasing of income.
BUY
(Market Call Minute.)
DON'T BUY
There is some uncertainty here because of the big ownership that BCE (BCE-T) has in it. He has been moving into other areas.
DON'T BUY
11% distribution because they have a lot of tax write-offs they can use. Feels that the distribution will drop drastically when it converts back to a corporation.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Good yield. There is concern that there will be a cut in the payout when it gets closer to the conversion date but part of it is priced in. If it should drop because of a price cut, he would add to his position. On a 25%-30% cut you still have a reasonable yield.
DON'T BUY
Doesn't think Bell Canada (BCE-T) will increase their stake as they have quite a plateful in other activities. If you own for the yield, it is probably OK but will have to convert to a corp and expects the payout will decrease at that point. Also can’t see where growth is going to come from as their market is saturated.
DON'T BUY
Dividend would have to shrink 30% when they convert to a corp. Would not own it for yield, but BCE might look to privatize it.
WEAK BUY
BCE owns about 44% of it. Not growing revenue, but squeezing costs. Will eventually taken in by BCE. Distribution will be cut when they convert. Prediction of $1.90-$2 dividend after conversion.
DON'T BUY
Not a lot of upside. Was a nice income trust but not sure what happens when they convert. Prefers big telcos.
DON'T BUY
Would prefer BCE vs. BA because he is looking for growth, not income.
DON'T BUY
It’s a good time to invest in the telecom sector , but not in this one. There is a dividend cut coming during the conversion to a corp. Eventually BCE might take it in.
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