Stockchase Opinions

Greg NewmanAlimentation Couche-TardATD.TOPARTIAL BUYMay 28, 2026

Buy the good ones when they're stalling out. Market fears that inflation will hit the consumer at the pumps, and then at the convenience store level. Things look pretty good. High quality. Trying to grow 12-14%, trades at high multiple.

Cheaper than peers. Attractive place for new capital to start building a position.

$77.21

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$77.89

As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.

food stores
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BUY

Taking market share from smaller operators. Last quarter saw improving momentum and US same-store sales up. Long track record of disciplined execution and steady earnings growth. Fundamentals 9/10.

(Analysts’ price target is $93.00)
WEAK BUY

Has decent, long-term growth. Allocates capital well and buys decent companies. As they grow, it's harder to buy companies. PE looks fine. 

Unspecified

It is one of the largest gas retailers and has done lots of acquisitions. It is all about the margins of gas prices.. People don't fill up their tanks as much with higher prices and will come back more frequently, not just for gas but for all products that the stations sell. It has a low beta.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Restarted share buybacks. Lots of M&A to be had. Growth of 3-5% a year, with a nice tailwind to double-digit earnings growth for a long time. Results starting to improve. Food offerings aren't as good as some US competitors, and it's fixing that. Not exceptionally cheap, but a great long-term investment.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 21/25, Up 17%)

Doing a better job with in-store food service. Above-industry-average fuel margins amidst tepid demand. Undemanding valuation. Unprecedented back-to-back EPS misses, so sets up for easy comparisons. Ample financial firepower to make interesting moves.

WEAK BUY

The chart's been swinging up and down, between $68-84 for the last couple years. Is slowly working its way up. Is a defensive retailer. Is holdings its own in the high $70s, so he's looking for resistance in the low-$80s, with support at $77. Can't tell how far up it will go.

WEAK BUY

He has a small position, was somewhat relieved when the 7-Eleven deal in Japan didn't go through. Now has really strong balance sheet. Focused more on organic growth. Still opportunities for M&A, but probably less ambitious than last year. Reasonably priced.

Question of capturing the margin on elevated gas prices, and will it constrain volumes?

BUY

Likes it, but didn't like them going after Carrefour or 7-11. The high oil price is a short-term pressure. The valuation is attractive again.

BUY

Recent report wasn't bad. Market's concern is that fuel costs will be intolerable and there will be fewer visits, hurting store sales. He doesn't think oil's high enough to have that impact. Guidance for Q3 and Q4 was pretty healthy.

Really good companies tend to be expensive. Not bad value at 24x PE for 15% growth. Less expensive than usual. Good long-term wealth builder to add at these levels.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 12/25, Up 14%)M&A on pause.

This announcement wasn't a surprise. Size of previous M&A attempts spooked investors. Today is its investor day, announced EPS growth of 10+% until 2030 -- that they can do this without big deals gives people more confidence. Still owns, would buy today.

HOLD
Has done nothing over 3 years, small loss in TFSA. Be patient, or move on?

Owns it, but not a large weight. Not one of her top positions. Delivers operational stability and dividend growth. Impacted by volatility on fuel margins, lack of big acquisitions, and modest organic growth, which have kept the stock range-bound.

Analysts still see long-term upside of 13-20% from here. Next leg up likely depends on a major deal or a clear acceleration in returns. Food demand is steady, fuel demand is soft but improving, margins have a good upward trend, global footprint expansion. Constructive on a long-term play. She's giving it more time to play out, but will likely take some profits when it hits her price target.

BUY

Are the go-to dealmaker in this space. He doesn't like companies that grow by buying other companies and prefers internal growth (safer). Benefits from more consumer buying gas-powered cars. He holds a tiny position but will buy more.

HOLD

His preference in the grocery/retail space.

BUY

Sees 13% upside from here. Despite risks to slower consumer spending, convenience store items will continue to do well. Resilient business model for everyday consumer demand. Scale and operational efficiency help maintain margins. Trending sideways for a year. Investing in store upgrades and digital initiatives. Modest dividend.

The real value comes from ability to generate cash and reinvest in growth. She remains constructive long term. Ranks 9/10 on fundamentals.