Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO)

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104 watching

HOLD

Based on earnings projections, he wouldn't be surprised if it proceeded to higher levels. Prospects for aluminum are good. Would buy more if it went to $50.

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DON'T BUY

Good assets. Have low cost energy. The aluminum market is cyclical and thinks it's closer to a peak. Probably heading into the Down part of the cycle.

DON'T BUY

This stock is going to trade with the sector and right now, the tide is going out on metal stocks. This is a cyclical stock and can go down a long way when the cycle is over.

WEAK BUY

Has corrected with most metals. There is a little more bullish element with aluminum and zinc but most base metals have seen their cyclical high.

TOP PICK

Was affected by the sell-off in metals. Very optimistic about the price of aluminum. Have a big competitive advantage with their cheap source of power. A quality company.

BUY

The model price is $61 a positive differential of about 26%. Mispriced.

TOP PICK

Will continue to generate good earnings. Aluminum lagged some of the other commodities but has begun to catch up. Cost curve is moving up and that is going to keep the prices higher. There have not been any new projects, so it will be several years before you see a supply ramp. The stock will be volatile this summer.

HOLD

He is expecting an increase in the pricing of aluminum for the next 3 years. Metal stocks, as a whole, are becoming very, very cheap.

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BUY

Very good value here. A cyclical, so if you buy it here, remember that you will probably sell by year-end.

BUY

Trading at less than 12 X earnings. A very solid company. Have been really improving the balance sheet. Because of high electricity prices, aluminum pricing should be pretty solid.

DON'T BUY

Thinks the metals are going to be under pressure for a little while. Mid caps and smaller companies are taking it on the chin and they may be a better buy when things settle down.

BUY

Has some very good potential from a strategic viewpoint of the world. Could be a takeover target.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 28/06. Up 7%.) Aluminum prices are a very volatile, but he thinks on the uptrend.

TOP PICK

The price of aluminum has gone up a lot less than zinc or copper. If aluminum just averages $1.10 this company, next year, will do $5US.

TOP PICK

Has now reached a point where the price has become compelling. Should earn in the neighbourhood of $4.50 this year with cash flow over $8. Aluminum is in demand right now.

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Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO)