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Alcan Aluminum (AL.TO)

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick June 9/05. Up 4%.) Sold for a gain when it popped. If it gets cheap again, it'll probably be back in his portfolio.
TOP PICK
Has come off sharply because the price of aluminum has lagged other metals commodities. Finally starting to realize some of the cost synergies. Cheap at under 10 X next year's earnings.
BUY
High energy prices have been holding them back. Aluminum is very well controlled, so their challenge is to be able to control their costs and make it available for more products. A long term holding.
WAIT
Has been disappointed in management that they can't seem to get their act together. Wait for a bit of a pullback. Haven't got a firm fix on where the earnings are going. They and Alcoa (AA-N) should be reacting faster to the energy cost increases.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 9.05. Down 7.3%.) Still likes it. Earnings came in exceptionally well. Getting the synergies from the Pechne acquisition. Trades at 11 X earnings and aluminum prices are going up.
BUY
For a metal stock it has really come down in value. Feels the metal markets still have a year or two left in them.
TRADE
Has come down quite nicely. If you decide to get in at these levels, be prepared to get out at its low. Near the old support level at this time and it could swing back up to the top.
BUY
Numbers today looked dreadful today, but the operating numbers are up 24%. Price of aluminum is going up.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 9/05. Up 11.5%.) Sold it and took his profit.
BUY
Has had very disappointing performance in the past little while, primarily because the price of aluminum has not performed well, but has started to show some improvement. Represents good value here. Should continue to see strong performance at under 10 X next year's earnings.
BUY
Did his homework and ffelt that it is a good buy. Buying for new clients.
BUY
Aluminum prices have really lagged of other commodities. Inventories continue to be low and declining. Chinese export taxes are beginning to take hold. Trading under 10 X 2006 earnings. Reasonable value here.
BUY
Has been very disappointing. Having trouble passing on cost increases. Still likes, but has given up hope that it's going back to $60 any time soon.
BUY
A great buy. If you are a short term investor who likes to trade, the price is pretty attractive. For a long term investor, it's a good one to have in the portfolio.
DON'T BUY
A laggard in an industry that's been doing pretty well. There's better places to be. Would consider something that's more focused on nickel or copper.
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