Laura Wallace
Alcan Aluminum
AL-T
BUY
Jul 19, 2005
Aluminum prices have really lagged of other commodities. Inventories continue to be low and declining. Chinese export taxes are beginning to take hold. Trading under 10 X 2006 earnings. Reasonable value here.
Stock had a good top because of the offer from Alcoa (AA-N). Whatever happens to the price of aluminum in the near term will not be based on fundamentals. A lot of variables are going on, so there is no assurance the stock will go higher. If you own, take some partial profits.
Early on in the process of a bidding war. If you own, continue to hold. Main risk is a Pac Man defence where Alcan tries to buy Alcoa (AA-N). You might lock in a bit of profit at this point.
Has been a long term favorite of hers. Has just had a big pop, and they sold some.Expects the company to go higher.They've maintained a conservative balance sheet.
There is a takeover bid in play. (caller asked how) To sell your shares, you can tender your shares, (call your broker), or sell on the market. Recommends tendering.