NASDAQ:AAPL

Apple Inc (AAPL)

333.43
-0.26 (0.08%)
as of Oct 5, 2026, 2:10:34 pm Market Open.
2021 watching
0
COMMENT
She likes the company, but it is hitting the upper bound of valuation--too high. But if more money flows into the S&P, then the company is a pretty big piece of that index and move up even as its valuation rises too. She owns it, but is underweight.
STRONG BUY
They're brilliant in finding ways to get their loyal customer base to buy the next iPhone. Fabulous. He's a big fan of Apple--its devices, cloud services, ad services and Apple stores. They have a mountain of cash, too. Will it be a legacy company in 30 years? Hard to say. He can't see that far in the future.
BUY
They report Wednesday. They do huge business in China (hurt by Covid) and Europe (hurt by Russia's insane expansionism). Apple is viewed as safe because its services business acts like an annuity. Own it, don't trade it.
COMMENT
He predicts Apple will miss its next quarter. A coin flip, though. Weak consumer confidence may see a decline in buying Apple's expensive products. If you own Apple, sell some covered calls. If not, buy puts which are pretty cheap. They expire next week, so you can them before Apple's next quarter.
COMMENT
The risks over the next 3 quarters: 1) supply chain delays, 2) services revenue. There may be a decline in the latter, given the weak consumer confidence numbers as food and gas prices rise, but these are coming down now. She can't predict when China will end its zero-tolerance policy towards Covid, but if China has 0-2% GDP this quarter, then this situation will change. Apple has guided very conservatively, so an improvement in China will be a serious tailwind.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It pulled back over 20% at one point. She's been starting partial positions on down days. She likes this long-term. Their phone user base is a great background to lay on services which total 20% of its revenues but a third of its operating profits. Services are recurring, tool. Also, the PE is better now. Great long-term hold.
BUY
His largest holding. When it drops, he buys more; when it blossoms, he trims. Warned on supply chain, Ukraine, and USD issues. Some of this should reverse as we head into 2023. Reasonable valuation at just over 20x earnings. Excited by new products. One of the world's best businesses. He's buying.
COMMENT
The bad news for megatech is that they haven't gone down as much as the wider market. Those tech ones that have held up the best sp far, eventually fall down. True, Meta and Netflix are down by half. Last quarter, Amazon reported negative sales and might again. Note that 18% of Apple's business comes from China, so what is the impact of China's lockdowns? Will other consumer plunk down that much money for a notebook amid this economy. The headwinds are real, but we are close to ending this bear market.
TOP PICK
Bought it in 2006. Trading now 20% off its highs, so now is a good time to enter. Shares are down because of the shutdown in China from supply and customer standpoints, but CEO Tim Cook comes from a supply chain background and will navigate this. They have 1.5 billion installed devices globally at a 93% loyalty rate. Do the math. They have a captive market and are innovative, spending nearly $20 billion annually in R&D. They produce $90 billion in free cash flow annually and over $100 billion in revenue this quarter. They bought back $27 billion shares in the March quarter.
DON'T BUY
Owns Meta and MSFT instead among FAANG. Meta trades at 12x, so he recently added more. Meta is a hated company, but look long-term. MSFT is a very strong business. Apple has some hit or miss risk when they bring new products to market. Certainly is a cash cow. A strong company. Tough to grow a company this massive.
BUY
Now trading at a forward PE of 22x vs. the S&P's 15.5x It depends on the growth rate, whether they continue to execute. A higher growth rate deserves a higher PE. Higher input costs will effect profits, but look at the discount now compared to a year ago. Yes, he would continue to buy this and tech names like this.
TOP PICK
A great opportunity. Don't often get a chance to buy on the cheap. Such a long runway to price target. Phenomenal moat. Extremely profitable. Still a high bar on innovation. High margins on services, about 67%. Yield is 0.69%. (Analysts’ price target is $184.42)
COMMENT
Apple vs. BCE for income Certainly, BCE generates income (he owns it), despite minimal revenue growth, though it's well-run. 5G may give it a bump. Pays a super yield. You don't buy Apple for income (the yield is low), but rather it's a growth company. The two stocks are yin-and-yang, but offer good diversity in a portfolio.
HOLD
It is a mature company and it is difficult to dislodge them. Its P/E ratio is more reasonable in the 20's. It is making its own chips for its phones and laptops and the chips use less power and are faster.
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