Open Text (OTEX-T)

Really active with M&A through pandemic. Recent sale of a business. About 30% upside to target from here. Very involved in EIM software, leader in Canada. Buy 1/3 here around $36, another ~$33, final ~$31.

Stock's struggled. Earnings flattened out. Likes it, in some good niches. Very cheap. Lots of upside and earnings power if you're patient. Decided to stop the acquisitions and streamline what they have.

That's a question every company should be asking. It takes a long time for technology to disrupt an industry. OTEX has to keep investing to stay relevant, and AI might be an opportunity. Not particularly high growth, but they chalk up free cashflow. Buys back 10% of shares every year.

Pulled back from earlier this year. Broke downward trend line (a really good sign), now seeing a base and a breakout. Technicals look good, could break higher.

Promised a lot, and if they can deliver it will be a great investment. That proof is still in the pudding. Doesn't have a strong opinion on whether management is capable of delivering. He agrees that market's lost confidence in its M&A ability. Expectations are quite low, so it would be easy to do well. A solid hold.

It made an acquisition which the market didn't like and the stock has fallen significantly. It is a growth by acquisition company and tends to have bumpy revenue post acquisition. He thinks it is under-priced here and there is more upside, but it is a show-me story.

About 10% left on the upside runway. Better opportunities elsewhere.

Familiar with business. Good at M&A, but has used a lot of debt in business model. Better options like Constellation Software available for investors. Doesn't own shares. 

It now has a different strategy and is not acquisition driven any more. Other companies are more attractive for returning capital to shareholders.

12-month price target of $48. More appealing, longer runway opportunities elsewhere.

Coming into the low point it saw in 2022, trying to bounce off, so far so good. Earnings will either add to that momentum or do the opposite. He doesn't usually buy the day before earnings.

If earnings news is good, could easily see return to mid-high $50s, a big level of resistance in the past. If you own it, give them the benefit of the doubt. If not, hold off until they report.

Other companies in the space make more sense to him. Getting into AI in a big way. Not impacted by today's market dive too much. He has a 12-month price target of $49.25. Add in thirds here around $43, $41, and $39. (Shouldn't go below $37.50.)

Last earnings beat on top and bottom lines, but not on margins (32% vs. expected 36-37%). Capex with so many companies has just ballooned, as they try to be competitive.

Buying shares in recent market selloff. Latest earnings report not strong. However, business is very good. Would recommend holding for long term investors. Recent M&A has a lot of potential. Expecting higher margins and cash flow.