Painted Pony Energy

PONY-T

Analysis and Opinions about PONY-T

Signal
Opinion
Expert
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 17, 2020
A challenged energy company. Really cheap on a price to book basis. The problem is that most energy companies have no positive price momentum and earnings are not yet growing. Cash flow is beginning to improve, but it is too early to get back into yet.
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A challenged energy company. Really cheap on a price to book basis. The problem is that most energy companies have no positive price momentum and earnings are not yet growing. Cash flow is beginning to improve, but it is too early to get back into yet.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
December 19, 2019

He is bullish on Albertan-based natural gas because we have declining production and supply, increased take away capacity and inventories are at a 10 year low. The winter will eventually come and then there is the prospect of depleting storage. A lot of Nat gas companies have hedged away their Alberta gas exposure. Pony still leaves him a little uncomfortable, however. He likes BRK-T, TOU-T and ARX-T. The balance sheet of PONY-T leaves him pause.

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He is bullish on Albertan-based natural gas because we have declining production and supply, increased take away capacity and inventories are at a 10 year low. The winter will eventually come and then there is the prospect of depleting storage. A lot of Nat gas companies have hedged away their Alberta gas exposure. Pony still leaves him a little uncomfortable, however. He likes BRK-T, TOU-T and ARX-T. The balance sheet of PONY-T leaves him pause.

BUY
BUY
November 21, 2019
They have significant assets in the core area that will benefit from LNG. They had a tough second quarter and production came in because they shut in some production. The fourth quarter is going to be good. He thinks they can buy down debt next year. It is a higher beta stock and not owned by institutions. They could be a takeover candidate 3 or 4 years down the road.
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They have significant assets in the core area that will benefit from LNG. They had a tough second quarter and production came in because they shut in some production. The fourth quarter is going to be good. He thinks they can buy down debt next year. It is a higher beta stock and not owned by institutions. They could be a takeover candidate 3 or 4 years down the road.
SELL
SELL
November 8, 2019
There are a lot of components in the energy sector that are weighing them down. The stock came down so much that it’s looking to be more of a bankrupt company than a turnaround story. The stock’s not looking good so be very careful. It could bounce back, or go lower.
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There are a lot of components in the energy sector that are weighing them down. The stock came down so much that it’s looking to be more of a bankrupt company than a turnaround story. The stock’s not looking good so be very careful. It could bounce back, or go lower.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 29, 2019
Well-managed, but Canadian energy has a big strike against it. Most are trading at 3-4x cash flow, which are 15-year lows. Even when there is enthusiasm for oil, the senior oil stocks will move up before these do. Investors don't care about oil stocks now.
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Well-managed, but Canadian energy has a big strike against it. Most are trading at 3-4x cash flow, which are 15-year lows. Even when there is enthusiasm for oil, the senior oil stocks will move up before these do. Investors don't care about oil stocks now.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
October 10, 2019
It will benefit from the LNG business that is coming in the next few years. It is a candidate for tax loss selling. $3.40 is his target. He likes it. It has a monster upside.
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It will benefit from the LNG business that is coming in the next few years. It is a candidate for tax loss selling. $3.40 is his target. He likes it. It has a monster upside.
BUY WEAKNESS
BUY WEAKNESS
July 25, 2019
One-year target of $3.40. No dividend. Balance sheet pretty good. He'd potentially own it. Stock is cheap here.
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One-year target of $3.40. No dividend. Balance sheet pretty good. He'd potentially own it. Stock is cheap here.
HOLD
HOLD
July 17, 2019
An under-performing natural gas producer that will likely continue to improve its marketing of its production outside of Alberta. He does not currently own it.
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An under-performing natural gas producer that will likely continue to improve its marketing of its production outside of Alberta. He does not currently own it.
HOLD
HOLD
June 20, 2019
People need to realize that because of the construction season, the price of ACO is $0.05 and nobody can make money at that. It is a very cheap stock. They are right on the fairway to fill the LNG Canadian needs. He would stay with it. They have sufficient cash flow.
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People need to realize that because of the construction season, the price of ACO is $0.05 and nobody can make money at that. It is a very cheap stock. They are right on the fairway to fill the LNG Canadian needs. He would stay with it. They have sufficient cash flow.
BUY
BUY
May 24, 2019
A 10-bagger? Their debt is very low and it is very well managed. They have a massive reserve life. A very big beneficiary of west coast LNG. This could see $15 share prices again. Yes, it could be a 10-bagger or a future acquisition. He is hoping to hear of a LNG Canada announcement soon.
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A 10-bagger? Their debt is very low and it is very well managed. They have a massive reserve life. A very big beneficiary of west coast LNG. This could see $15 share prices again. Yes, it could be a 10-bagger or a future acquisition. He is hoping to hear of a LNG Canada announcement soon.
BUY
BUY
February 28, 2019
Results are not out yet because of a pipeline issue on the West Coast of BC. He thinks their volumes will pick up again as the pipeline issues are resolved. It is a very cheap stock at one and a half times cash flow. We need LNG takeaway capacity on the west coast, which will benefit them in 2024. We are probably going to have the lowest storage levels in a long time in North America due to cold weather. And Canadian Nat Gas prices are above $3 right now. It looks like cold weather will go on a little longer.
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Results are not out yet because of a pipeline issue on the West Coast of BC. He thinks their volumes will pick up again as the pipeline issues are resolved. It is a very cheap stock at one and a half times cash flow. We need LNG takeaway capacity on the west coast, which will benefit them in 2024. We are probably going to have the lowest storage levels in a long time in North America due to cold weather. And Canadian Nat Gas prices are above $3 right now. It looks like cold weather will go on a little longer.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
January 9, 2019
A BC station 2 gas producer -- right at the further point from markets. He is focusing on condensate rich producers instead that see prices linked more to oil prices. AECO prices yesterday were $1.13 /GJ.
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A BC station 2 gas producer -- right at the further point from markets. He is focusing on condensate rich producers instead that see prices linked more to oil prices. AECO prices yesterday were $1.13 /GJ.
BUY
BUY
December 17, 2018
It is on his action alert buy list. It is mainly natural gas focused. 9% liquids. They are going to have a lift in production in 2019. The stock is pretty cheap. The balance sheet is 35% debt and he does not see that as a problem. It will start to do much better.
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It is on his action alert buy list. It is mainly natural gas focused. 9% liquids. They are going to have a lift in production in 2019. The stock is pretty cheap. The balance sheet is 35% debt and he does not see that as a problem. It will start to do much better.
WAIT
WAIT
November 14, 2018
In the long term, they have incredible assets and management and will be very successful. In the short term, they are looking at selling some assets because of high debt loads.
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In the long term, they have incredible assets and management and will be very successful. In the short term, they are looking at selling some assets because of high debt loads.
DON'T BUY
DON'T BUY
October 19, 2018

This stock was a sell on fact situation following the announcement of Shell to proceed with LNG on the west coast. There is long term exposure to BC natural gas out to 2023. They are having trouble proving the value of their acreage. He would not own this as he remains bearish natural gas.

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This stock was a sell on fact situation following the announcement of Shell to proceed with LNG on the west coast. There is long term exposure to BC natural gas out to 2023. They are having trouble proving the value of their acreage. He would not own this as he remains bearish natural gas.

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