Arc Resources Ltd

ARX-T

The CEO believes their 9.6% yield is sustainable. They will cut capex and defer growth to protect the balance sheet. So, the yield is safe, but don't expect growth.

(A Top Pick Jul 03/18, Down 49%) The company made the same amount of money in Q1 as last year. He is perplexed by the market sentiment. The dividend is over 9% and he thinks they will not cut it at current oil and gas prices. Oil accounts for 70% of their cash flow. A bargain and he continues to buy. Yield 9.2%

He does not think the dividend will be cut, unless commodity values drop sharply or they decide to use capital to buy back shares. They have a huge undeveloped land holding position. The management team is building the company for the next decade. He has faith in them. Yield 9.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.37)

Its trend channel is heading south, not north. If it stops making lower lows and lower highs, it may start basing, which would be good. It's not going sideways yet, but keeps going down.

A weak stock and if the market tumbles, the dividend will get cut.

A really good company with great properties. But it doesn't matter as their base is natural gas, where prices are not going any where. It may look cheap as a stock, but it is not changing anytime soon.

Dividend can get cut at any time. They'll do it to protect the balance sheet at any cost, and the stock may go up. Methodical execution. As long as there's a conventional oil and gas business, ARC will be there.

It's in no-man's land now. Avoid new lows like this. This could fall to $5.

Their debt is very low and acceptable and have lots of cash. Book value is over $10 per share. A high yield and good company in the right fairway. They are liquids rich. He thinks this is a very cheap stock, but there are so many others that you can own. There could be another 5-10% downside for weakness. Yield 7.5%.

It is getting kicked out of the MSCI world index tomorrow and going into the small cap index. It got beaten up and so he is recommending it for an energy stock. (Analysts’ price target is $13.23)

(A Top Pick Apr 05/18, Down 42%) He got stopped out. Crude prices have not rallied, so the stock has not improved. Energy is great value at the moment, but this would not be his first entry back into the space.

The disparity in oil stocks between fundamentals and share prices has never been wider, but ARX falls into a nice middle ground. It's been hit the last few days on weak gas prices, but two-thirds of cash flows are supported by oil, but they also have long-term exposure to LNG Canada and LPG export. Plus, they're marketing their products to the States. Well-run and you get paid a 7% dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $13.53)

Still on its long downtrend.

It is an ultra-high level quality company that has been impacted by its exposure to natural gas production. It only trades at 3-4 times cash flow, when it used to trade at 8 times. The lack of trading liquidity in the space is holding back valuations. The only knock is that they are outspending cash flow this year. A short term issue. A solid name.

Stock is cheap here. Pays a monthly dividend of almost 7%. Book value is $10.39. All natural gas stocks have been beat up. Paid down debt, and equity's gone up. Decent balance sheet. Sitting in the fairway that will benefit from LNG exports 3-4 years from now. Not on his list, but sees the merits of owning it.