TSE:WCP

Whitecap Resources (WCP.TO)

19.62
+0.07 (0.36%)
as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Closed.
997 watching
0
TOP PICK
The dividend is safe. They have a strong balance sheet. They are still making lots of cash flow. The payout ratio is pretty low. (Analysts’ price target is $10.79)
HOLD
Is the dividend safe? The dividend will depend on the oil price. He assumes $60 WTI and $20 heavy differentials and $10 light oil differential. WCP-T would have a 95% payout ratio based on these assumptions. It would trade at 4 times cash flow.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
He owns a lot less of all oil companies than a couple of years ago. It is a tough business because you can't support your revenue line. They are good stewards of capital. Under the right circumstances, this would be a stock to buy. You have to be patient with it. The discount in crude will narrow back to its long term average. He does not see Line 5 in Michigan being shut down, as the democrat rep there has promised.
WAIT
They are more exposed to Canadian light differential. It is a good name but he struggles with what is the buy thesis. He thinks there are better opportunities.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 02/18, Down 34%) This is a light oil company. She is still buying at these levels. She thinks dividend is safe. She thinks it will improve when light oil differentials improve over the next few quarters.
HOLD

One of the top Canadian oil producers. It's a victim of a whole sector that investors haven't been interested in. There's potential for a rebound trade in this entire group, and if so, then WCP is definitely one to hold. Wait and see in the next six months and hopefully you will get a pop. Otherwise look at Cardinal Energy.

BUY

This is a name that is well held institutionally and in the retail market. There may be some acquisition overhang that will ultimately be beneficial. Management will do small acquisitions, but the big deals are likely done he thinks. This company has an attractive payout ratio (near 80%) and so the dividend should be sustainable. It has been a core holding of theirs for years.

HOLD

This is a dividend paying stock and sometimes can hold a stock for the dividend. This stock has good support at $7.50. Would hold it and collect the dividend if prepared to allow it to drop to its support. Upside looks to be around $10.00.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

39% debt to equity. They have long life assets. Pay a monthly dividend. This could be an interesting story. Book value is $7.79. Would be a buy at less than $8.00

BUY

Is a lower risk way to gain access to Canadian light oil. He thinks Canada is now the place to be. Predominantly light oil producer. Stock has been lagging. Sees them having about 80% upside at $80 oil. Safe balance sheet. Current valuation is so low.

COMMENT

One of the better-managed oil companies. Their properties, management and balance sheet are good. It has a lot of potential to come back if prices rise--but this could be a long wait. In energy, you can make money elsewhere such as
Suncor. Ask yourself: how did this stock enhance my portfolio?

COMMENT

Whitecap vs. Tourmaline (TOU-T) Decent multiple, plus bunch of growth potential, pretty good rocks. Whitecap is a more interesting name because of oil weighting, so they’d choose that one.

HOLD

Stay with it. He is working on analysis of it now. He likes the company and the assets. It has some of the best engineering teams for recovery. You are looking at a potential double over the next 4 to 5 years.

BUY

A good bread and butter name to own. There has been a bit of a rally so far this year. The reason energy stocks have gone up in Canada is because US investors are coming into our names because they are seeing few names that don’t have takeaway issues. It is a lower risk name. He sees 4 times forward cash flow, where as it used to be 8. Where we are in oil prices, these names are trading at half their historical multiples, even if you don’t think oil is going up. It's a steady Eddie name. He is looking for more growth and so doesn't own this name.

BUY

He bought some on the day of the interview (price $8.65 on interview day). The company sells at 4.4x cash flow and the company offers 8 years of existing cash flow from their current producing fields. He thinks it is financially positioned to make more acquisitions next year.

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