TSE:WCN

Waste Connections (WCN.TO)

237.78
+1.82 (0.77%)
as of Jun 26, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
283 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 26, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 14 opinions in the last 12 months.

Waste Connections (WCN) operates in a stable and reliable industry, often viewed as a defensive play due to its predictable earnings and cash flows. Despite fundamental strengths and a manageable growth outlook, the company's stock has recently been on a downward trend, leading to concerns about timing for entry. Analysts commend its disciplined management and potential for long-term growth, albeit cautioning that the current price may be on the higher side, especially noted with a forward PE ratio at 27x. Acquisitions in smaller markets and a focus on employee safety contribute to its strong operational framework. Nevertheless, the market seems to prefer more dynamic growth stories over steady performers like WCN, which may impact buying decisions in the short term.

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Consensus
Neutral
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Valuation
Fair Value
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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 14, 2017. Up 24%). This is a garbage company. It is relatively recession-resistant. He thinks there are still good opportunities for it. He expects it to grow by acquisition. They have tons of free cash flow to support that acquisition program.

BUY

It has been a great stock for him. It trades at a bit of a premium to some of the peers in the US because there aren't a lot of quality industrials in Canada. It is quite a recession resistant business. No need to crystallize your gains.

COMMENT

This has been a freight train hitting new highs. After decades of consolidation economies of scale have been reached. Valuation is way too rich for him. It is a good business but you have to buy it right.

TOP PICK

Pays a modest dividend. Free cash flow grew by 16% to $855 million. Paid down $300 million in debt in the past year. They grow by acquisitionEarnings to grow 17% this year, 14% in 2019. Multi-quarter breakout with 20% upside. (Analysts' price target $99.70)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick July 14/17 Up 18%). This garbage collection company been growing successfully through acquisitions. They are benefitting from EPA regulations to collect methane at garbage dumps, collecting methane to fuel their fleet.

COMMENT

A disciplined acquirer. They've bought several companies over the years. Yield will grow over time, but their more focussed on increasing their assets.

DON'T BUY

Sold it, but it's continued to do well and reported a strong quarter. It looks positive in the short-term, but valuations are trading around 4x book, which is out of his league.

WATCH

It is in its seasonal period. It is related to industrial activities. Technically we have broken the uptrend. He would take a look at the recent highs and if it broke those, he would enter the position.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Optically doesn’t look cheap. 30 times earnings. But the company is growing at 15% and that justifies the price. They are looking to consolidate the garbage industry in North America. Good business to be in.

BUY

This has been an all-star performer. It had a terrific 2017. It is run by very smart group of allocators and there is more room to go. Waste collection is still a very fragmented business in North America. A very attractive business.

PARTIAL SELL

If you own this, he would start to play with the house money, maybe give half of it back. At this stage, it is really anybody's guess as to what it is going to do. He likes the volume and the run it’s had, but where does it stop. You should reward yourself and take a little bit off the table.

BUY

Wait for a pullback or buy today? Doesn’t expect less garbage in the future, but will be producing more. This company has pretty good pricing power and the waste services industry is still extremely fragmented in the US. A good opportunity here.

BUY

The waste business is economically sensitive. A lot of customers are commercial. As the economy strengthens, you produce more waste. This is a play on a strengthening economy, which is one of the reasons you would want to own this. It has a very interesting geographic footprint in parts of the US that are growing. Technically it is sound.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Has been a pretty hot stock lately. Expensively priced. Growth by acquisition, and a yield, but not a really high one. You take that combination, but unless you can really buy it well, or you already hold it, he would look for a cheaper entry point. He would look in the low $80s before he would be an interested buyer.

COMMENT

Last time he looked, this was pretty expensively priced. Has met with management, and it is pretty impressive. The kind of a name he wished he had bought.

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