
NYSE:UBER
UBER's sales and earnings have been improving and its outlook is decent, with sales growth of ~17% expected over the next few years and strong earnings growth. Its debt levels are creeping higher, with a debt-to-equity of 1.1 and net debt/EBITDA of 3.6X. Profit margins are improving and it generated a strong level of free cash flow over the past 12 months. Its cash position of $5.5B is strong and its valuation is OK with a forward sales multiple of 2.2X and forward earnings of 30.5X. We feel that the momentum has shifted for UBER and it is now picking up momentum in its earnings leverage. We feel that if sales and earnings growth continue to grow as expected in the coming years that this name can perform quite well.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
An analyst reiterated it a top pick today at a $55 price target. Shares have been rallying this year, up 50% in 3 months. He targets $65, an all-time high. Profitability is the story. Note that there's an economic contraction in Europe, so we don't see the strength of Uber's international. If this joins the S&P, it will benefit Uber like it did Tesla. They have dramatically improved the balance sheet and their culture. Stay patient and this will reward you.
Uber has incredibly grown in recent years with 2022 net revenues of $31.87 billion, which nearly doubled 2021’s number and outpaced any other year. However, Uber also lost $9.14 billion last year and the street keeps asking, When will Uber turn a profit? Next year, says the company to the tune of $1.4 billion after posting another loss in 2023. Can Uber turn around in time? That’s an open question. Read Travel winners & losers for our full analysis.
Company finally free cash flow positive.
Competition weakening.
Appears to have won the transportation market.
On a P/E basis - still expensive - but growing quickly.
Management team performing well.
If continues to grow - will be a good investment.