TSE:TRP

TC Energy (TRP.TO)

86.85
+1.08 (1.26%)
as of Oct 20, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
1334 watching
0
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Impact of the split?

Companies get split off for 2 reasons: 1) it's non-core; or 2) it's better off being run on its own. Long-term, core business of TRP has an elevated dividend that will revert to the mean. You should see a special dividend, dividend compression over time. 

At current levels, you'll see more downside.  Well run, great company. Major opportunity once pipeline to the West is done.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 14/22, Down 23%)

Bought for stable and growing dividend and for commodity tailwinds. Yield surge threatened funding outlook.  Not a lot of growth in next 2 years, but reasonable at 10x, with 8% dividend.

COMMENT

He lost faith in management and sold. It had cost over-runs and sold off some gas assets but not for great profits. Still more asset sales are needed to pay down debt. The plan to split the company into two parts raises question marks. Enbridge is better managed so he prefers that as well as Alta Gas.

DON'T BUY

Headwind of higher interest rates. Cost overruns on Coastal GasLink, so has underperformed ENB and PPL. Once Coastal is complete, overhang should lift.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 11/22, Down 4%)

It has not been a good year for the stock or the space in general but some companies are coming back. It pays a good dividend and has plans to sell some assets which will be good for paying down debt. It is selling an oil pipeline but it doesn't look to be at a great multiple. He has been buying more.

HOLD

Excellent job in diversifying business.
Capital expansion program worrisome for investors.
Higher interest rates hard on business.
Building new assets difficult in Canada.
Oil pipeline spin-out would be a good investment.

BUY

Dividend's not as high as ENB, but neither is the leverage. Suffered as interest rates have gone up, but interest rates have peaked and should come down somewhat sometime next year. Hefty dividend of 7.7%.

BUY

It's been challenging to own this long term, but things are improving--they divested their stake in their Columbia gas pipeline, freeing $5 billion, and will spin off the liquids business, which will be a long, complicated process. But this will unlock flexibility and remove some ESG taint to TRP. Shares are cheap and pay a 7.6% dividend (a record high and higher than peers like Enbridge). Trades at a discount to peers. Shares are down. All these factors set it up well.

DON'T BUY

Has sold shares in company.
Cost overruns and difficulty to build projects a concern.
Not able to re-invest cash flow.
Dividend not in trouble, but not expecting capital appreciation.
Strong assets, but hard to grow business. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 11/22, Down 20%)

Surprised how much share price has fallen.
Believes that weakness in share price will pass.
Assets very strong - move 25% of gas in North America; 35% of LNG feed stock.
LNG growth also growing. 
Buying more shares given current price. 
Good long term investment. 

Unspecified

It is best known for its Keystone pipeline system. The market didn't like the valuation multiple implied in the recent announcement of the sale of Columbia Pipelines. It is separating out its liquids pipelines business from its gas pipelines. There have been cost over-runs and elevated debt levels. The dividend is over 7%.

BUY

Penalty box. Share price around 5-year low. Plans for spinoff and sale of a trophy asset. Balance sheet doesn't support its capital program. Very attractive 10x earnings, a durable business, a ton of value. He owns and still prefers ENB and PPL.

TOP PICK

Huge portfolio of pipelines, a tremendous barrier to entry. Impossible to replicate its assets. Selling Colombian asset to reduce debt, and market recoiled from this shift from growth to debt reduction. Splitting off liquids group. 10x earnings multiple. Yield is 7.89%.

(Analysts’ price target is $54.07)
SELL

He's about to sell it at a loss. Support has broken down.

TOP PICK

It is down nearly 32% in the past year. He recently bought it. Some assets are being sold resulting in a better balance sheet. The pipelines on the west coast are good for oil prices in Canada. Carbon based energy will still be in demand.    Buy 9  Hold 10  Sell 3

(Analysts’ price target is $54.35)
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