Mr. at GlobeInvest Capital Management
Member since: Aug '23 · 24 Opinions
He is looking for a soft economic landing since the CPI numbers are encouraging and there has been the lowest two month increase in inflation seen in two years. Rent is one of the biggest drivers of inflation data and the real time data of new leases being signed in the U.S. is starting to come down. There is a lag effect to interest rate increases so an extra 25 basis points increase here and there won't have a big impact especially when compared to the huge increase over the past year. Investors will look for signs of keeping rates where they are or a start to cutting them.
Since last summer there has been a recession in advertising for television and this has been a problem for Chorus. There are longer term headwinds since subscribers are moving more to streaming services. Chorus has STACK TV but it is an uphill battle against some of the big companies. It sold its animation studio to help reduce debt load but debt is still pretty high. The stock is too risky.
Editor's Note: This is Alexander's first time on Market call so there are no past picks. Instead he added to his general comments from the beginning of the show. One topic was the spread between the 2 year bond yields and the 10 year bond yields. If this spread is inverted it has always been followed by a recession for the past many decades. However, the two events are not always correlated. Things may be different this time since we have gone through a pandemic, (with its consequent slowdown) which hasn't happened in over a century. The supply chain is improving and the labour market is strong with very few cracks so he is anticipating a probable soft landing.
This is a core holding. It is a pharmaceutical and medical devices company. There has been some mild concern about a bit of a patent cliff and asbestos claims from a baby powder product. However it is a defensive company with a solid balance sheet and Triple A rating. There is a spinoff coming which will be available to shareholders. When asked about Lilly, he prefers Johnson and Johnson.