
TSE:TRP
Dividend Explanation:
When looking at dividends, it is usually better to look at cash flow rather than earnings.
Earnings have lots of non-cash expenses that impact results, such as depreciation and stock-based compensation, but have no impact on cash. But companies need cash to pay dividends so we prefer to look at operating cash flow.
On that basis, in 2022 TRP had $6.4B in cash flow, and paid out $3.2B in dividends, for a payout ratio of 50%.
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Canadians need TRP's Coastal Gaslink completed instead of paying for costlier alternatives. Pays over a 7% dividend. A cheap way of playing energy now. Is cheaply priced. Some concern over debt levels, but he's not overly concerned. Energy directly benefits from inflation.
(Analysts’ price target is $60.30)
He owns a starter position and would like to add. Market is skeptical, so you might be able to get it at a giveaway price. If you're building capex, the market's nervous. Coastal GasLink is massively over-budget, unlikely the company will build one of these again. Lots of project potential in eastern US through gas and infrastructure. Would be highly surprised if 6% dividend gets touched. Defensive.
The overhang of cost over-runs related to the west coast should disappear by next year so TC Energy should do better and the stock could move into the low 60's. Therefore now is a good time to buy in the low 50's.