
TSE:TFII
This summary was created by AI, based on 21 opinions in the last 12 months.
TFI International Inc. (TFII) has seen a volatile performance amid a prolonged freight recession that has significantly impacted the trucking sector. Although recent market excitement has driven the stock back up to previous levels, many experts emphasize that the fundamentals have not fully recovered. Several analysts note that while organic improvements are happening and US manufacturing appears to be turning a corner, headwinds from tariffs and oversupply issues remain problematic. Some see the potential for a turnaround given the company's strong management, ongoing buybacks, and healthy free cash flow, while others advise caution due to uncertainties surrounding tariff impacts and cyclical nature of the industry. Overall, the stock is regarded with mixed sentiments, with suggestions to accumulate during dips as potential for recovery exists over the next few years.
Why the strength, when it's an economically sensitive business? One competitor declared bankruptcy, which will throw business their way. M&A is still a driver. He boosted price target to $180, but still a sector perform. 16x 2023 earnings, but growing at 18%, so PEG is still attractive.
In registered accounts, he's taking some off the table, but in non-registered accounts he's letting it run. Likes it long term.
They just reported. The street likes their guidance. A former top pick of his and still owns it. It's well-positioned for the long term. There's a huge different in their operating differential between Canada and the U.S. If they close that gap, their earnings will increase a lot. They just bought shares in a competitor, so maybe that's the first step in a full acquisition. Strong cash flow. They could increase their dividend, which is now modest, or increase buybacks.
It is an owner operated trucking company that is becoming an asset type of business, having made a great investment in buying a component from UPS. They are great asset allocators and could do 10 U.S. dollars per share in two years as well as see its share price reach $250 Canadian. An added attraction is that it will turn away business that is not profitable enough.
Are great operators; trucking is all about logistics and operations. Also, they are good at buying companies (in a fragmented industry). E-commerce remains strong, and packages need to be delivered by somebody.